TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b91…ac5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Coco Gauffbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.52
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Miami Open: Emiliana Arango vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$42.42
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Miami Open: Sara Bejlek vs Talia Gibsonbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Morelos: Beibit Zhukayev vs Facundo Menabacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.09
Miami Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Morelos: Tyler Zink vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Keegan Smithbacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+200.7%+$36.13
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cap Cana: Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.24
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.02
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+240.8%+$91.15
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.43
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50.35
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+151.7%+$20.5
Kam Jones: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.11
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.43
Kam Jones: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+128.8%+$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$8.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.3%+$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.9%+$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.