TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Rodrigo Pacheco

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michael Mmohof Michael Mmoh, Rodrigo Pacheco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,919 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Rodrigo Pacheco4c7,193$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rodrigo Pacheco38c3,037$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.751,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Michael Mmoh53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1720847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Michael Mmoh54c2,417$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.271,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Rodrigo Pacheco3c1,794$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rodrigo Pacheco47c1,238$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7324448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Michael Mmoh54c932.15$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.132,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Michael Mmoh57c707.59$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6118548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michael Mmoh23c665.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.141,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Rodrigo Pacheco3c604$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Rodrigo Pacheco47c568.63$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0650731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco52c542.12$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.676,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rodrigo Pacheco37c495.78$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Rodrigo Pacheco41c425.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.134,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Rodrigo Pacheco46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Mmoh61c353.82$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.129,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Rodrigo Pacheco46c292.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.017,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rodrigo Pacheco45c272.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.737,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Michael Mmoh55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7320552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Rodrigo Pacheco46c269.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rodrigo Pacheco27c266.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.242,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rodrigo Pacheco40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Rodrigo Pacheco46c234$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6455241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Michael Mmoh40c191$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Rodrigo Pacheco48c175.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8450364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Michael Mmoh60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.838268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Michael Mmoh54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michael Mmoh52c134.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.651,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed Rodrigo Pacheco47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Rodrigo Pacheco46c127$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4243242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed Michael Mmoh54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Michael Mmoh44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.62,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4581…bef8backed Rodrigo Pacheco47c109.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Michael Mmoh54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Michael Mmoh60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b91…ac5cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Mmoh43c67.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rodrigo Pacheco41c59.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.733,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Rodrigo Pacheco42c59.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9727147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Rodrigo Pacheco46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Rodrigo Pacheco47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michael Mmoh35c46.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.117,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Michael Mmoh54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.36747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Michael Mmoh49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.489364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…3c1cbacked Michael Mmoh39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45158.8%30 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Michael Mmoh77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.186637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Rodrigo Pacheco54c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4726941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Michael Mmoh59c34.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.884862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rodrigo Pacheco38c33.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.776,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Rodrigo Pacheco46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aec…6e19backed Michael Mmoh41c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Michael Mmoh52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Michael Mmoh54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.528658.1%50 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Michael Mmoh54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.