Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa69d80deda803185158a5ec76442625d9eb87dd306dec06b3634c5eef792d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 53c | 16,563$8,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 47c | 14,359$6,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,748.66 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 44c | 12,871$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.3 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 7,399$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.77 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 56c | 2,595$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.12 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,761$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.21 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.24 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.76 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 77c | 1,303$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 54c | 1,217$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 52c | 1,129$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 44c | 1,083$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 982$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 903.52$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.8 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 50c | 801$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 48c | 752.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.41 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 40c | 666.72$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 47c | 463.37$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 457.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 411.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 367.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 323.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 313.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 299.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 27c | 249.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 55c | 246.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 193.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 190.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 56c | 178.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…7a1bbacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 133.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 84.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 46c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 74.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 55c | 69.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 56c | 62.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…237dbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b06…0163backed Yes | 56c | 59.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 56c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 41.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 50c | 40.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…a0b0backed Yes | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 35.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 34.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…ac5cbacked Yes | 44c | 34.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…335bbacked Yes | 57c | 33.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 44c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 53c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…9d33backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 52c | 21.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…30d3backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…1cabbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.