Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915891bfc5ec141b2c75837308e9aaa2580828b67c0bd6acd342da75994633e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 10,266$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.39 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,670$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 1,288$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 640.56$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 515.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 80c | 387.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 362.54$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 297.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 208.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 107.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes | 23c | 89.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 27c | 73.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 77cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…9a9abacked No | 79c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…2303backed No | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.