TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sho Shimabukuro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nikoloz Basilashviliof Nikoloz Basilashvili, Sho Shimabukuro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,286 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33c9…6f9abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili44c2,654$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.4993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Sho Shimabukuro12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro9c1,656$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili47c1,583$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.4520336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sho Shimabukuro18c1,360$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Sho Shimabukuro56c1,329$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Sho Shimabukuro56c828.99$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.2481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Nikoloz Basilashvili48c625.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3743647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili73c599.25$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.36,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sho Shimabukuro54c569.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c552.76$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4960943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nikoloz Basilashvili44c544.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1924637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro12c538.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.629,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili44c515.61$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.741,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Sho Shimabukuro18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Nikoloz Basilashvili70c494.01$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0722949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili46c454.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3321758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Sho Shimabukuro52c451$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5226254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Sho Shimabukuro7c447.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sho Shimabukuro45c420$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sho Shimabukuro32c404.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.723,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Sho Shimabukuro56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Sho Shimabukuro56c394$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6423454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sho Shimabukuro46c367$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.31,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro48c316.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.124,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili46c274$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c273.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.71,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Sho Shimabukuro55c271.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7623…220bbacked Sho Shimabukuro22c271.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8f…6461backed Nikoloz Basilashvili47c265.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.921526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sho Shimabukuro16c251.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.182,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Sho Shimabukuro52c238.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2610739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Sho Shimabukuro17c223.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3957349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Nikoloz Basilashvili47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Nikoloz Basilashvili47c214$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.422740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3315854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Sho Shimabukuro53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Sho Shimabukuro31c196$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9626941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Sho Shimabukuro57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Sho Shimabukuro54c171.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.529461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Sho Shimabukuro55c171.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9521149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sho Shimabukuro72c171.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.221,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Sho Shimabukuro22c156.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.546645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Sho Shimabukuro53c154.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2723750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8114949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nikoloz Basilashvili43c141.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.544,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili28c120.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.559954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili48c111.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2512538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Nikoloz Basilashvili45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.525546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Nikoloz Basilashvili66c108.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.626158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e0…ca0bbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sho Shimabukuro54c105.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.347,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Nikoloz Basilashvili48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1720552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sho Shimabukuro54c102.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.31,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Sho Shimabukuro22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5940…139abacked Sho Shimabukuro55c91.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15b…109dbacked Sho Shimabukuro22c90.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sho Shimabukuro54c86.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.951,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Sho Shimabukuro54c81.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.252,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro33c81.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Sho Shimabukuro42c75.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b91…ac5cbacked Sho Shimabukuro53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Nikoloz Basilashvili78c64.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0917262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sho Shimabukuro29c63.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Sho Shimabukuro26c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3749342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Sho Shimabukuro55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Sho Shimabukuro53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Nikoloz Basilashvili79c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5510443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Nikoloz Basilashvili47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196250%31 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Sho Shimabukuro54c52.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2623554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nikoloz Basilashvili46c51.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.072,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Nikoloz Basilashvili28c51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7219634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Sho Shimabukuro20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c49.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5532649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Sho Shimabukuro54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Sho Shimabukuro22c46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.126939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Sho Shimabukuro53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nikoloz Basilashvili73c39.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Sho Shimabukuro56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1622847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1629244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Sho Shimabukuro56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Nikoloz Basilashvili46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3610251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Sho Shimabukuro55c31.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.743842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nikoloz Basilashvili75c30.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nikoloz Basilashvili45c29.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2278536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Sho Shimabukuro53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Nikoloz Basilashvili67c25.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.415549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Nikoloz Basilashvili47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6690340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Sho Shimabukuro53c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb860…e71fbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Nikoloz Basilashvili80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.