TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,083 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c4,790$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.963,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,513$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over52c1,377$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.942161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under36c1,308$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over54c1,222$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c883.17$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under52c856.21$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c773.58$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.585545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over41c700$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over58c695.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.373641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under47c528.94$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.67417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over37c499.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.742733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Over71c484.27$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over41c409.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c352.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4538247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c290.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.327054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c290.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.532,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under14c235$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under14c235$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.852222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c220$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.115554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c206.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0788048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over54c204.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c202.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2117855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over50c201.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c200.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3715562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over41c186.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.313070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c182.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4117958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over54c157.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.555464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over67c152.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6114963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over63c147.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8114641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under25c125$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.752317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c118.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6214767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under45c116.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5717835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over49c109.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.993627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5dd…dda7backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5813337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7616543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Over58c86.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Over53c75.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.479443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over73c73.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under48c71.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under46c70.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5133522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c67.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.771,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over45c67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.753036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c66.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under48c62.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.044841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Under49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc2…e5e6backed Over53c50.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.495366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over54c43.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.215435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-77.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under47c42.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under47c42.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.23231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Over44c42.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…270fbacked Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c39.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.312650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over49c39.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.345048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Under31c36.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.394951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over54c31.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.583327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over44c29.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.557028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under49c25.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7217249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c25.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.148551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bd…5aedbacked Under49c24.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over44c23.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c21.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.417956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa492…2a7bbacked Over53c20.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b91…ac5cbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over61c16.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.592065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.