Europa Conference League · resolved market
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f94824bad8a5058c5e209e4fb4a5d8f26e360733535f1cdf19d23c5cc4c48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,147 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,094$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 56c | 900.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 712.81$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 48c | 629.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 73c | 548.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…b7cabacked Yes | 56c | 468.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 463.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…08aebacked No | 44c | 461$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…1f1cbacked No | 44c | 359$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec3…9213backed No | 44c | 352.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…86fabacked Yes | 56c | 351.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…175dbacked Yes | 56c | 349.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…57fcbacked Yes | 57c | 321.22$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…4de0backed No | 44c | 317$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 56c | 262.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 15c | 235$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 15c | 234.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 49c | 166.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 165.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 109.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 73.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Yes | 48c | 67.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 43.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 56c | 33.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5Under won
- AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AC Sparta Praha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.