NBA · resolved market
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993e89a27ce2abb6749833c50003f1fedae11df52d7d2db62bc565b5041a420a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 67c | 1,304$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.73 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…6ad4backed Yes | 31c | 1,266$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,260$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 60c | 595.09$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 68c | 586.91$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Yes | 35c | 528.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…fda3backed Yes | 32c | 443.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 56c | 390$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 27c | 367.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fb…9a62backed Yes | 33c | 364.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 67c | 304$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…da8dbacked Yes | 31c | 294.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Yes | 27c | 288$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Yes | 27c | 287$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 72c | 255.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…8357backed Yes | 30c | 199.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 69c | 170.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Yes | 30c | 164.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…4ad7backed Yes | 34c | 101.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ff05backed Yes | 32c | 94.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Yes | 34c | 90.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 68c | 42.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…6ab0backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 69c | 34.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…ac5cbacked Yes | 33c | 31.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 75c | 30.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 66c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spurs vs. RaptorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.