NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a94abd888517fd115f05e13df30d9e19b23b1e0783a18243a84c746e19f27de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 305,582$156,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,312.85 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 67,339$32,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,016.02 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 43,145$22,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,119.17 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 27,989$13,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,394.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 21,291$10,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,453.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 18,383$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,453.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 16,540$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 10,100$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.62 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Under | 52c | 8,631$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.77 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 6,941$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 48c | 6,637$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 5,767$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 51c | 4,954$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.67 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…b8f6backed Over | 47c | 4,233$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,826$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…163dbacked Over | 47c | 3,566$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…6a91backed Over | 47c | 3,456$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 52c | 3,264$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.83 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,099$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.16 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…8301backed Over | 47c | 2,956$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,320$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.79 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 1,996$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…40fabacked Over | 47c | 1,852$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…cf1fbacked Under | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ce49backed Under | 53c | 1,795$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…6bddbacked Over | 47c | 1,766$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…db07backed Over | 47c | 1,723$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…3133backed Under | 53c | 1,711$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…0f64backed Under | 53c | 1,677$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…902dbacked Over | 47c | 1,665$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 1,517$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,505$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…e9bcbacked Under | 53c | 1,488$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…7d45backed Under | 53c | 1,452$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…fac7backed Under | 53c | 1,354$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…9235backed Under | 53c | 1,293$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…8a0ebacked Under | 53c | 1,254$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…3c4ebacked Under | 53c | 1,244$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…3145backed Under | 53c | 1,186$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9862…3ca8backed Under | 53c | 1,147$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…0eaebacked Under | 53c | 1,125$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…ab5abacked Under | 53c | 1,123$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,120$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 51c | 1,094$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cc…99ecbacked Under | 53c | 958$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 888.4$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 879.16$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 48c | 754.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 739$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.5 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 727.73$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…3578backed Under | 53c | 587$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 47c | 572.36$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 50c | 556.72$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 510.15$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 486.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 323.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 55c | 298.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 271.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 47c | 212.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 205.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 198.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 51c | 193.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 19c | 114.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Under | 51c | 110.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 108.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Under | 50c | 99.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 84.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…e176backed Over | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 56c | 76.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 75.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spurs vs. RaptorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.