NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8797f1f650291e65d8b8bb9ee430847c1923602499cb72b97cf0089399a0b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Spurs, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.97 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Spurs | 53c | 32,201$16,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,922.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Raptors | 50c | 24,610$12,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,304.95 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 48c | 21,745$10,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,430.15 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 45c | 21,427$9,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,784.92 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 49c | 18,570$9,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,043.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 50c | 14,870$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,435.17 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Spurs | 54c | 10,804$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.27 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 50c | 9,102$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,716$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 54c | 5,646$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 47c | 5,537$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.22 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 48c | 4,964$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…d541backed Raptors | 45c | 4,555$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…7a79backed Raptors | 45c | 4,425$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…8a7dbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,022$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…edfbbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors | 46c | 2,992$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.7 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…216ebacked Spurs | 55c | 2,705$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…3a8ebacked Raptors | 45c | 2,699$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 47c | 2,555$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.24 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…17aabacked Raptors | 45c | 2,356$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…e178backed Raptors | 45c | 2,344$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…191fbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,322$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Spurs | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Raptors | 45c | 2,097$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.39 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Spurs | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…842ebacked Spurs | 55c | 2,010$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 46c | 1,973$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors | 52c | 1,922$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.68 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…cd58backed Raptors | 45c | 1,888$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,709$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…24fabacked Spurs | 55c | 1,666$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…a362backed Raptors | 45c | 1,655$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…9fd6backed Raptors | 45c | 1,588$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…6cabbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,588$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb8…9332backed Spurs | 55c | 1,577$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…20ddbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,574$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…eebabacked Spurs | 55c | 1,568$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…17f7backed Spurs | 55c | 1,544$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…3c8ebacked Spurs | 55c | 1,536$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…c993backed Spurs | 55c | 1,456$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…5703backed Spurs | 55c | 1,431$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…42cdbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…fcdebacked Raptors | 45c | 1,340$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…e2e6backed Spurs | 55c | 1,315$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 47c | 1,302$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…f9c9backed Raptors | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…5f5fbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,256$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…ba59backed Spurs | 55c | 1,234$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…c5c7backed Spurs | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…3f56backed Raptors | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.7 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 46c | 993.75$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Raptors | 52c | 959.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Spurs | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Raptors | 53c | 919.04$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Spurs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 46c | 887.68$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Raptors | 63c | 779.04$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Spurs | 49c | 746.94$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 44c | 744.68$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Spurs | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 53c | 694.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…6712backed Raptors | 45c | 630$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Spurs | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 48c | 563.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.87 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs | 56c | 525.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 51c | 499.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs | 49c | 456.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…475ebacked Raptors | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Spurs | 51c | 388.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Spurs | 47c | 384.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Raptors | 46c | 377$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Raptors | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Spurs | 48c | 359.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Raptors | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 47c | 333.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…a9ecbacked Raptors | 45c | 310$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Spurs | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Raptors | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Raptors | 47c | 289.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Spurs | 53c | 288$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 8c | 287.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 50c | 278$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 45c | 272.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Raptors | 46c | 272.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spurs | 50c | 259$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Spurs | 50c | 231$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Raptors | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Spurs | 48c | 217.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Raptors | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raptors | 46c | 203.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spurs vs. RaptorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.