TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Spurs, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.9543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Spurs50c20,776$10,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,387.929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x120a…ed97backed Spurs0c18,962$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors51c17,140$8,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,398.491,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs44c16,037$7,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,056.4256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors51c10,977$5,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.161,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs45c10,853$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors51c10,427$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Spurs44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Spurs49c7,750$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.0910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors53c7,043$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.3245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs38c6,724$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs44c5,064$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.5857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs48c4,982$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.331,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Spurs49c4,934$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.563171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors50c4,753$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.5287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Raptors57c4,639$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.5813534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs43c4,491$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.0429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Spurs48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs49c3,652$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.231,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors51c3,375$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.842,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs43c3,261$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.1420355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs45c3,111$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…c993backed Raptors50c3,088$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Raptors51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Raptors52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae27…c5c7backed Spurs50c2,825$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors53c2,773$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Raptors55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.273250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…e178backed Spurs50c2,450$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca1…17aabacked Raptors50c2,425$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d2…ba59backed Raptors50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf12…a58cbacked Spurs49c2,324$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd861…94c7backed Spurs51c2,306$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Spurs44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79a…eebabacked Spurs50c2,265$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e9…842ebacked Raptors50c2,255$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2855…5703backed Spurs50c2,189$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs50c2,187$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.281,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Raptors53c2,006$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.1267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x166f…191fbacked Spurs50c1,895$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors51c1,804$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.8865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…197dbacked Spurs51c1,742$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Spurs50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c1,529$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Raptors54c1,525$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors53c1,497$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…cd58backed Raptors50c1,456$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs49c1,456$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Spurs44c1,370$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Raptors50c1,335$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.6713142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Spurs50c1,270$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.035364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b03…0d5dbacked Raptors49c1,245$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs47c1,237$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…c3aabacked Raptors49c1,211$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e36…9802backed Raptors49c1,199$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f49…960fbacked Raptors49c1,181$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0acd…d599backed Spurs51c1,180$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfa9…8f83backed Spurs51c1,179$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b58…5e19backed Spurs51c1,172$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02c…b5c6backed Spurs51c1,170$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…88bfbacked Spurs51c1,160$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48f…e57abacked Raptors49c1,150$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2866…d4e9backed Raptors49c1,150$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cf…439fbacked Spurs51c1,144$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c5cabacked Raptors49c1,142$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…de7ebacked Raptors49c1,136$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedaf…c5acbacked Spurs51c1,136$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aee…4d74backed Spurs51c1,135$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820e…b6c0backed Raptors49c1,134$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d7…d35ebacked Raptors49c1,129$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…ee77backed Raptors49c1,127$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c1…db90backed Spurs51c1,121$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a0…dfb4backed Spurs51c1,119$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc783…a1a8backed Raptors49c1,114$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcc…cd50backed Raptors49c1,113$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73b…6f21backed Raptors49c1,109$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c07…f86ebacked Spurs51c1,108$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc8…8482backed Raptors49c1,107$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…d3f2backed Raptors49c1,104$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6c…b04abacked Raptors49c1,101$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9a…09bcbacked Raptors49c1,099$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddea…6076backed Raptors49c1,099$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a4…3753backed Raptors49c1,097$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bb…1d47backed Raptors49c1,096$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…8b46backed Spurs51c1,090$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6396…7e4fbacked Raptors49c1,087$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b30…bba2backed Spurs51c1,085$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c93…0391backed Spurs51c1,081$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…52d1backed Spurs51c1,081$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd356…9d53backed Raptors49c1,076$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024f…7de0backed Raptors49c1,075$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4185…dbf4backed Spurs51c1,072$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88a…da93backed Spurs51c1,072$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…5e2dbacked Spurs51c1,071$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347e…ed1abacked Spurs51c1,069$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+94.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.