TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb42c…2e14backed Under48c4,752$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…fff3backed Under48c4,622$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52a…3728backed Under48c4,600$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c8…246abacked Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over54c2,907$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.5341652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a4…fa63backed Over52c2,900$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c2,880$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.9222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a29…c5c9backed Under48c2,654$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…c55bbacked Over52c2,356$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bb…d789backed Under48c2,355$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5810…e435backed Over52c2,322$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ecc8backed Under48c2,244$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc198…7a4abacked Over52c2,233$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbfc…3133backed Under48c2,155$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb9…7f0abacked Under48c2,111$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ee…351cbacked Over52c1,955$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67a…8dcabacked Under48c1,952$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360d…902dbacked Under48c1,878$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a28…6bddbacked Over52c1,856$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c1,854$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…269ebacked Under48c1,792$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef6…fe4dbacked Over52c1,782$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3019…cf1fbacked Over52c1,722$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4c…bcb0backed Under48c1,688$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe55a…ce49backed Over52c1,688$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1a…74a8backed Over52c1,655$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb102…1a06backed Under48c1,655$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…a402backed Over52c1,619$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdd…b7b2backed Over52c1,566$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba06…6606backed Over52c1,562$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e91…65a3backed Under48c1,504$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ee…6661backed Over52c1,452$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa53e…a701backed Over52c1,423$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f3…40fabacked Over52c1,420$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa13…b96bbacked Over52c1,366$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd081…db07backed Under48c1,365$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…574fbacked Under48c1,326$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…8e89backed Over52c1,322$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…7cc5backed Over52c1,318$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc10…0f64backed Under48c1,288$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc633…210dbacked Over52c1,270$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b1…fe8abacked Over52c1,255$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf7…4057backed Over52c1,241$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd0a…6862backed Over52c1,212$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…f281backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc635…fb0ebacked Over52c1,147$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c2…9ba3backed Over52c1,140$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a3…a147backed Over52c1,123$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe266…6e00backed Over52c1,087$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over54c825.97$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over66c761.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c700$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c627$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under59c477.73$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c391.85$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.681,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under35c381.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6922140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under71c308.1$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over54c225.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7be…d42abacked Over54c163.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c160.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c152.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over51c145$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under33c143.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c138$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over46c124.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.452,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under50c117.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c109.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c105.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.023,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c104.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…5c93backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c97.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.532,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c95.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c90.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2121637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over39c80.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0319435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under52c72.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2539047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c69.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.631,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under53c56.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under49c54.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6245653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under71c50.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under43c50.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6950841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…dde9backed Over53c49.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Over62c43.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.772766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.675147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.