Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Beibit Zhukayev vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc22f4685f0374db4dca3437a71ad6384ff7424b26717037776e6b4c6ad4295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Menaof Beibit Zhukayev, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 70c | 3,056$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.5 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Beibit Zhukayev | 8c | 1,946$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Facundo Mena | 42c | 1,943$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.19 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Facundo Mena | 29c | 1,717$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.07 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Beibit Zhukayev | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.77 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 55c | 1,524$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Beibit Zhukayev | 61c | 1,308$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.97 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Beibit Zhukayev | 60c | 1,048$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.66 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Facundo Mena | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Beibit Zhukayev | 55c | 817.29$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Facundo Mena | 35c | 705$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Beibit Zhukayev | 33c | 683.31$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Facundo Mena | 39c | 657.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.38 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Facundo Mena | 40c | 550.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.16 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Beibit Zhukayev | 8c | 468.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Facundo Mena | 31c | 464.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Facundo Mena | 30c | 463.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Beibit Zhukayev | 49c | 445.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Beibit Zhukayev | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Beibit Zhukayev | 17c | 391.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Facundo Mena | 40c | 333.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 58c | 313.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Facundo Mena | 40c | 309.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Beibit Zhukayev | 54c | 238.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 229.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Facundo Mena | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Facundo Mena | 55c | 210.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Facundo Mena | 40c | 197.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 181.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Facundo Mena | 40c | 177$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 62c | 157.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Facundo Mena | 51c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Beibit Zhukayev | 62c | 142.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 57c | 132.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Beibit Zhukayev | 66c | 131.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Mena | 71c | 113.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Facundo Mena | 33c | 107.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Facundo Mena | 43c | 104.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 67c | 102.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Beibit Zhukayev | 70c | 95.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Beibit Zhukayev | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Beibit Zhukayev | 62c | 80.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Beibit Zhukayev | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Facundo Mena | 31c | 68.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Facundo Mena | 65c | 67.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 46c | 60.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Facundo Mena | 32c | 60.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Facundo Mena | 38c | 60.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Facundo Mena | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Beibit Zhukayev | 29c | 59.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…ac5cbacked Facundo Mena | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beibit Zhukayev | 29c | 51.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 50.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Beibit Zhukayev | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Beibit Zhukayev | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Facundo Mena | 45c | 44.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 45c | 44.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Facundo Mena | 62c | 42.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 39.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Facundo Mena | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 28.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Beibit Zhukayev | 59c | 27.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Beibit Zhukayev | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Facundo Mena | 61c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Beibit Zhukayev | 66c | 21.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…cb0cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 61c | 21.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Beibit Zhukayev | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 61c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beibit Zhukayev | 58c | 19.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.