UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3342fe508ccb436ce7d8b63280bf93a1deaffac6619304626e170dc32026ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charles Johnsonof Bruno Silva, Charles Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,335,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,335,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Charles Johnson | 64c | 400,000$254,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,516.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bruno Silva | 37c | 137,065$50,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,048.86 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Bruno Silva | 36c | 109,200$39,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,312 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 75,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500.03 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Bruno Silva | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Charles Johnson | 32c | 41,511$13,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,389.92 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Charles Johnson | 62c | 35,564$21,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,606.11 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Charles Johnson | 63c | 30,478$19,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,342.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Bruno Silva | 36c | 28,080$10,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.8 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Bruno Silva | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bruno Silva | 36c | 23,088$8,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruno Silva | 36c | 19,180$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,904.8 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…8536backed Bruno Silva | 46c | 17,449$8,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,017.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Charles Johnson | 16c | 13,608$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,387.43 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 11,473$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.51 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Charles Johnson | 49c | 10,862$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.32 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…739bbacked Bruno Silva | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…7b70backed Bruno Silva | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Charles Johnson | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.97 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bruno Silva | 36c | 8,280$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruno Silva | 45c | 7,898$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.64 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Bruno Silva | 2c | 7,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Bruno Silva | 2c | 7,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Bruno Silva | 3c | 7,300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Bruno Silva | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Bruno Silva | 2c | 6,750$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Bruno Silva | 2c | 6,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Bruno Silva | 2c | 6,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Charles Johnson | 62c | 5,956$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.38 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Charles Johnson | 59c | 5,598$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.32 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bruno Silva | 54c | 5,336$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.49 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bruno Silva | 40c | 5,205$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.13 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Bruno Silva | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Charles Johnson | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…b329backed Bruno Silva | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Charles Johnson | 31c | 4,598$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.06 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bruno Silva | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Bruno Silva | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…a953backed Charles Johnson | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Bruno Silva | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruno Silva | 40c | 3,723$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.43 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bruno Silva | 43c | 3,524$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Charles Johnson | 67c | 3,500$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.5 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Bruno Silva | 4c | 3,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Bruno Silva | 40c | 3,302$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.55 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruno Silva | 38c | 3,222$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.36 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bruno Silva | 57c | 3,110$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.37 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Bruno Silva | 41c | 3,000$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.69 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Bruno Silva | 39c | 2,901$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Bruno Silva | 6c | 2,900$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Charles Johnson | 51c | 2,752$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.27 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…a1c9backed Bruno Silva | 39c | 2,738$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Charles Johnson | 59c | 2,619$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.95 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bruno Silva | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Charles Johnson | 62c | 2,440$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Bruno Silva | 3c | 2,435$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Charles Johnson | 47c | 2,378$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.41 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 2,334$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.88 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Charles Johnson | 59c | 2,240$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Bruno Silva | 40c | 2,226$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.86 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Bruno Silva | 5c | 2,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Bruno Silva | 39c | 2,140$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Charles Johnson | 52c | 2,013$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.23 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bruno Silva | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Charles Johnson | 20c | 1,902$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.66 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Bruno Silva | 5c | 1,886$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Charles Johnson | 49c | 1,661$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Bruno Silva | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Bruno Silva | 1c | 1,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Bruno Silva | 42c | 1,598$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruno Silva | 38c | 1,574$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.12 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Bruno Silva | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Bruno Silva | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Charles Johnson | 62c | 1,405$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.92 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bruno Silva | 39c | 1,370$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.33 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…4880backed Charles Johnson | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bruno Silva | 36c | 1,304$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Charles Johnson | 60c | 1,275$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.24 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Charles Johnson | 7c | 1,267$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Bruno Silva | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Bruno Silva | 42c | 1,189$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bruno Silva | 56c | 1,182$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bruno Silva | 37c | 1,146$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Bruno Silva | 56c | 1,057$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Bruno Silva | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruno Silva | 61c | 1,003$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.78 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Charles Johnson | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Charles Johnson | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Charles Johnson | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Charles Johnson | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bruno Silva | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Bruno Silva | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…4f19backed Charles Johnson | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Charles Johnson | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Bruno Silva | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Charles Johnson | 40c | 988.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.69 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bruno Silva | 58c | 967$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.14 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Charles Johnson | 58c | 950.31$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.