NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b1bfb4d3d001814cc7c7dcecbd2de54befc1a33dc1e9b847dc96b0d66ca46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,366,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,225,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,366,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Rockets | 8c | 179,996$14,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,377.88 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 45c | 163,506$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,499.83 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rockets | 13c | 86,886$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,303.82 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 17c | 85,756$14,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,778.81 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…ad1abacked Rockets | 11c | 66,220$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Lakers | 63c | 40,980$25,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,337.97 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 34c | 31,956$10,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.99 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Rockets | 28c | 28,000$7,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,908.29 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rockets | 13c | 26,755$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.98 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 55c | 24,587$13,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,064.36 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 9c | 22,768$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.96 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Rockets | 27c | 20,265$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Rockets | 6c | 13,058$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Rockets | 45c | 10,752$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.17 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Lakers | 55c | 10,535$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Lakers | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Lakers | 67c | 8,377$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ec…307abacked Lakers | 37c | 8,356$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets | 46c | 8,118$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.3 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Rockets | 8c | 7,508$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Rockets | 23c | 7,448$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rockets | 19c | 7,409$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.2 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Rockets | 26c | 7,120$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Rockets | 11c | 6,709$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Lakers | 74c | 6,702$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.26 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Lakers | 78c | 6,393$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 22c | 6,133$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.57 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 58c | 6,000$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.95 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked Lakers | 76c | 5,614$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…e9cebacked Rockets | 43c | 5,557$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Rockets | 8c | 4,997$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.46 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Lakers | 80c | 4,909$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.01 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Rockets | 75c | 4,542$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.52 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…838bbacked Lakers | 22c | 4,487$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Lakers | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…7d05backed Rockets | 9c | 4,319$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Rockets | 10c | 4,000$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…512fbacked Lakers | 54c | 3,880$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Lakers | 74c | 3,746$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.89 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Lakers | 55c | 3,707$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.27 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Lakers | 55c | 3,675$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.75 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Rockets | 41c | 3,575$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Rockets | 74c | 3,515$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rockets | 11c | 3,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lakers | 54c | 2,928$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.79 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Rockets | 28c | 2,761$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Lakers | 54c | 2,722$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.19 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Rockets | 26c | 2,680$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…ec3fbacked Lakers | 37c | 2,643$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 25c | 2,564$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.13 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Rockets | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Rockets | 10c | 2,500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rockets | 64c | 2,435$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Rockets | 43c | 2,350$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Rockets | 11c | 2,277$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Rockets | 45c | 2,250$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.48 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Lakers | 55c | 2,223$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Rockets | 29c | 2,039$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.31 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.96 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lakers | 18c | 2,000$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.9 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed Lakers | 56c | 1,999$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.73 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Rockets | 9c | 1,939$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Lakers | 55c | 1,827$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…ef58backed Lakers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…404dbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked Rockets | 14c | 1,706$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +865.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Lakers | 67c | 1,700$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.54 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,615$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Rockets | 5c | 1,605$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c40bbacked Lakers | 76c | 1,588$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rockets | 11c | 1,557$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Lakers | 70c | 1,500$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Rockets | 77c | 1,459$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 16c | 1,456$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…1a98backed Lakers | 35c | 1,438$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…14c6backed Rockets | 47c | 1,431$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rockets | 62c | 1,415$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.39 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets | 11c | 1,394$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Lakers | 79c | 1,387$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…d7afbacked Rockets | 16c | 1,352$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Rockets | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Rockets | 11c | 1,296$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Rockets | 66c | 1,269$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.57 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lakers | 25c | 1,258$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.03 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Rockets | 7c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 43c | 1,161$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.51 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…abbfbacked Rockets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Rockets | 13c | 1,094$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Rockets | 29c | 1,051$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Lakers | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.96 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…05b5backed Rockets | 10c | 1,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…4c3abacked Lakers | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6363…b44fbacked Rockets | 12c | 1,014$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rockets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Rockets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rockets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Rockets | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…c5adbacked Rockets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…4098backed Rockets | 10c | 999.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.