Movies · resolved market
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b173db2582f7ccb12b7e541ab510934013b2640006712ae35507ff75d707f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $664,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 6c | 31,984$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 21,519$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.73 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…b19cbacked Yes | 8c | 18,404$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 17,915$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.32 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Yes | 7c | 12,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 7c | 9,023$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.52 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 8,893$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 8,420$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.83 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,961$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 7,298$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.37 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 6,895$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…0b21backed Yes | 8c | 6,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 6c | 5,279$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,347$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 4,223$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 8c | 4,194$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…6869backed Yes | 8c | 4,104$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…d235backed Yes | 8c | 3,791$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,692$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 3,609$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…fa5abacked Yes | 1c | 3,554$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 7c | 3,343$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 8c | 3,154$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 6c | 3,100$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…47a5backed Yes | 8c | 3,085$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…4362backed Yes | 8c | 3,027$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…9aa9backed Yes | 8c | 2,966$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 4c | 2,961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…fcc9backed Yes | 7c | 2,879$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,816$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed Yes | 7c | 2,815$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,797$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 1c | 2,793$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 2,766$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,622$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,500$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 8c | 2,370$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2775backed Yes | 8c | 2,257$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…ad31backed Yes | 8c | 2,252$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 1c | 2,208$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…161cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,144$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…ed34backed Yes | 6c | 2,059$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 3c | 2,031$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 7c | 2,001$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 8c | 1,950$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…1893backed Yes | 8c | 1,895$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 5c | 1,885$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…538ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,791$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…1ff0backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc502…c392backed Yes | 8c | 1,693$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…9b6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,664$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…a148backed Yes | 6c | 1,654$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…1669backed Yes | 6c | 1,636$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…19b9backed Yes | 8c | 1,594$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…787fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,565$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…ebaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,533$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…4e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,521$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,473$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…a5a8backed Yes | 8c | 1,453$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…b240backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…381bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,437$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…c089backed Yes | 7c | 1,425$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 1c | 1,416$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…bd84backed Yes | 7c | 1,415$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ca…0b73backed Yes | 11c | 1,405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,377$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…aa86backed Yes | 6c | 1,359$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…0681backed Yes | 8c | 1,342$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 6c | 1,303$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,287$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4ff4backed Yes | 8c | 1,283$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8fc8backed Yes | 8c | 1,235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…05febacked Yes | 8c | 1,227$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,226$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…3256backed Yes | 4c | 1,225$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…55bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,216$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,208$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 8c | 1,175$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c94backed Yes | 8c | 1,162$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,143$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…c130backed Yes | 6c | 1,102$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…244fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,069$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…1469backed Yes | 6c | 1,062$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…6c4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,059$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,047$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…3682backed Yes | 10c | 1,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fb…7809backed Yes | 8c | 1,017$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 12c | 1,001$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 975.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Yes | 5c | 963.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…9effbacked Yes | 8c | 953.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…2bb3backed Yes | 6c | 910$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 2c | 875.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…1b22backed Yes | 3c | 869$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kathryn Bigelow win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Yorgos Lanthimos win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.