South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832756b2998fedc7dc71f3e7c40a950255b3f948397f83aa8cef8f4928cdcdaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 49,178$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Yes | 3c | 15,378$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 13,834$8,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 50c | 13,555$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.45 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 12,575$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed No | 80c | 9,567$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.01 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 7,538$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.77 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 29c | 5,328$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.06 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 5,163$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.75 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 5,160$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.42 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,415$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.91 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 70c | 3,771$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.36 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 3,648$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,504$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 3,416$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 3,340$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.42 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 3,229$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.7 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 20c | 3,147$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.12 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 22c | 3,125$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.96 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 80c | 2,909$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.82 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 80c | 1,229$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 10c | 1,056$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 15c | 1,048$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Yes | 15c | 1,017$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 999.82$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.86 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 999.52$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 999.43$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.08 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 798.29$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 49c | 710.16$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 6c | 619.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 14c | 502$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 15c | 486$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 50c | 461.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 454.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 50c | 449.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 424.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 80c | 409.43$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 408.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 57c | 358.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 12c | 340.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 51c | 256$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 42c | 240.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 14c | 194.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 54c | 192$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 14c | 191.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 10c | 174.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…117dbacked No | 61c | 164.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 10c | 161.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…71cdbacked No | 58c | 159.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 157$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 80c | 145.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…aad2backed Yes | 12c | 120.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 69c | 118$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 49c | 111.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 101.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…61b1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 36c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 44c | 62.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed No | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a58…8dd8backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 50c | 55.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…160abacked Yes | 44c | 48.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 49c | 43.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…cb5fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…8758backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 45c | 28.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed No | 56c | 28.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked No | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 80c | 23.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 54c | 23.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…3c7abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…9ea3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 59c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.