South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ffdd7fea445982ffe45f8207709d37c9fadbe152a4fb7303fffb8f0588c577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 40,602$16,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,492.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 24,623$16,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,881.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 13,292$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.64 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 9,994$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.87 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 9,582$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 52c | 8,499$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.45 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 6,300$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 4,933$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.67 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed No | 70c | 4,846$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 4,174$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.61 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 45c | 3,999$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.13 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 57c | 3,829$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.57 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed No | 13c | 3,772$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 57c | 3,625$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.22 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 2,932$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.38 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 2,409$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.96 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Yes | 34c | 2,373$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.03 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 67c | 2,218$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.89 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 6c | 2,096$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 68c | 2,087$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.86 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 58c | 2,028$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.21 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 1,594$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.69 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 23c | 1,451$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 55c | 1,372$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.64 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 54c | 1,307$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.13 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 51c | 1,257$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 54c | 1,226$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.34 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 1,118$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.43 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 64c | 1,008$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 983.74$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 75c | 905.11$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 57c | 877.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 4c | 835.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 800$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 52c | 790.48$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.34 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 774.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 64c | 771.54$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.58 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 734.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 729$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 61c | 724.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 723.77$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 702.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes | 76c | 657.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 27c | 611.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 54c | 609.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.19 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 70c | 587$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 45c | 546$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.23 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 526.19$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed No | 62c | 453.49$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 56c | 429.26$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 69c | 378.09$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 76c | 371.51$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 369.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 20c | 352.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 75c | 338$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 74c | 316.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 53c | 301.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 44c | 286.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 73c | 273$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 34c | 270$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 72c | 269.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…117dbacked Yes | 76c | 261.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 255.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 51c | 230.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 55c | 205.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 194.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 193$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 27c | 192.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 27c | 183.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 179.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 58c | 168.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 160.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 59c | 160$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 71c | 149.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 68c | 144.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 128$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 30c | 99.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 26c | 99.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 92.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 78c | 87.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 87.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 66c | 81.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Yes | 27c | 73.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +139%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 30c | 67.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.