TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wang Congof Wang Cong, Tracy Cortez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$381,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Wang Cong54c47,848$25,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,009.855044%22 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tracy Cortez46c27,127$12,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,520.0220248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Tracy Cortez47c21,400$10,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,058862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tracy Cortez46c21,400$9,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,843.9714558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tracy Cortez48c17,117$8,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,245.9617050.6%86 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Wang Cong51c14,572$7,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.138744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wang Cong53c10,917$5,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.1615444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Tracy Cortez48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8003762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Wang Cong54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6004942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Tracy Cortez45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.896246.8%29 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Wang Cong53c9,500$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4653943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Tracy Cortez18c8,065$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.1415537.4%58 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Tracy Cortez47c7,554$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5352035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Wang Cong52c7,413$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.117247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Wang Cong54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2209148.4%44 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tracy Cortez47c6,266$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.729133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wang Cong53c5,888$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.3428849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Tracy Cortez17c5,527$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.033339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tracy Cortez46c5,433$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.1814551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Tracy Cortez46c5,065$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.125152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Tracy Cortez1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Tracy Cortez48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.998220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wang Cong51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9712052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a6…462dbacked Wang Cong52c4,734$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Tracy Cortez48c4,629$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2229164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tracy Cortez47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88030039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Wang Cong54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.973852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Wang Cong54c3,767$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.6813452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Wang Cong54c3,285$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.254936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tracy Cortez17c3,224$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.1635848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Tracy Cortez22c3,089$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1410546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Wang Cong75c3,082$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5129848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tracy Cortez47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9711746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Wang Cong52c2,975$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.9218032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Tracy Cortez22c2,502$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.098434.5%29 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Tracy Cortez46c2,297$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Wang Cong56c2,256$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.4437754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Tracy Cortez46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92017752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Tracy Cortez48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Wang Cong54c1,960$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.1713144.3%58 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ad…8a77backed Tracy Cortez46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8843…f9f4backed Tracy Cortez26c1,956$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Tracy Cortez49c1,899$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.341675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Wang Cong74c1,868$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.595655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Tracy Cortez47c1,712$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.433636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tracy Cortez47c1,693$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.2613836.2%50 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tracy Cortez43c1,682$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8222548%108 W · 117 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Wang Cong54c1,679$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.0914237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…25adbacked Wang Cong53c1,644$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Tracy Cortez47c1,609$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.5320837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…36f4backed Wang Cong55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.274057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Tracy Cortez5c1,329$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.423938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Tracy Cortez46c1,254$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.891747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Tracy Cortez48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.976759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Tracy Cortez47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5648353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Wang Cong53c1,116$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.727160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Wang Cong55c1,090$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.481560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Tracy Cortez46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Tracy Cortez48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Tracy Cortez46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Tracy Cortez1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Wang Cong52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Tracy Cortez47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7775…b9d5backed Wang Cong53c985.06$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Tracy Cortez47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010253.9%55 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ad…3624backed Wang Cong63c954.73$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Wang Cong53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.56172.1%44 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Wang Cong54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933060%18 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Tracy Cortez48c910.78$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43326140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc0…c9e8backed Tracy Cortez45c891.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Tracy Cortez49c871.98$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5718644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Tracy Cortez47c850.41$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Wang Cong78c842.55$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3414560%87 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Tracy Cortez47c799.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Wang Cong53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.58940.4%36 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Tracy Cortez28c702.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Wang Cong57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.751250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Tracy Cortez22c698.91$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.385230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Tracy Cortez48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Wang Cong53c610$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.76045%27 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tracy Cortez43c605.89$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5337152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Tracy Cortez48c590$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.22356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc2…c4d0backed Wang Cong53c555.34$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed Wang Cong55c533.44$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Wang Cong53c531.74$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Wang Cong64c518.39$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.45560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Wang Cong53c513.21$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Wang Cong53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23511057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Tracy Cortez48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…b9f5backed Tracy Cortez10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Wang Cong51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9919152.9%101 W · 90 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Tracy Cortez46c485.52$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Tracy Cortez47c478.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tracy Cortez12c470.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.083444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tracy Cortez17c462$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.762227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Tracy Cortez48c446.14$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.144744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Tracy Cortez46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015348.4%74 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Wang Cong52c434.18$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6790553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Wang Cong58c432.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.711050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Tracy Cortez48c406.25$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.