TailMyPicks

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UFC · resolved market

UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Damian Pinasof Cesar Almeida, Damian Pinas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$930,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$951,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Cesar Almeida30c503,752$150,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,988.087454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cesar Almeida29c292,784$85,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,362.212948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Damian Pinas71c250,000$177,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,499.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Damian Pinas70c161,004$112,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,301.117853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Damian Pinas70c125,001$87,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,500.2613452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Damian Pinas70c76,113$53,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,837.672065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Damian Pinas70c66,800$46,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,039.8914558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Damian Pinas70c35,680$24,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,703.997452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Cesar Almeida30c16,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Damian Pinas70c14,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20011554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Damian Pinas70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Damian Pinas70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Damian Pinas71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9004942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Damian Pinas70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006246.8%29 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Cesar Almeida8c9,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Damian Pinas70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.861526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Damian Pinas60c6,895$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.115537.4%58 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Cesar Almeida31c6,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.992927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Damian Pinas69c5,594$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.6317050.6%86 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf5…7fadbacked Cesar Almeida6c5,301$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Damian Pinas68c5,159$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.267247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Damian Pinas70c5,129$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.563452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Damian Pinas70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Damian Pinas70c4,893$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.043650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Damian Pinas70c3,078$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.6514551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed06…3612backed Cesar Almeida1c2,845$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Cesar Almeida33c2,769$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9205954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Damian Pinas67c2,512$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.941675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Cesar Almeida29c2,426$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Damian Pinas71c2,370$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.386172.1%44 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Damian Pinas70c2,204$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cesar Almeida34c2,150$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73135826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Damian Pinas71c2,143$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.432450%12 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Cesar Almeida3c2,100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Cesar Almeida31c2,060$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Damian Pinas67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cesar Almeida50c1,900$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.1753956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Damian Pinas68c1,899$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.633132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Cesar Almeida41c1,820$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Damian Pinas72c1,749$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.193571.4%25 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Cesar Almeida13c1,720$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.513144.3%58 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Cesar Almeida31c1,619$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Damian Pinas70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48042054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cesar Almeida30c1,587$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0813836.2%50 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Damian Pinas69c1,431$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.981560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Cesar Almeida30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Cesar Almeida29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9919531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Damian Pinas70c1,280$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1226140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Damian Pinas71c1,267$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4815348.4%74 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Damian Pinas70c1,224$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.344669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Damian Pinas70c1,176$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.671952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cesar Almeida11c1,173$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.569548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Damian Pinas50c1,119$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.933253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Cesar Almeida41c1,093$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Damian Pinas65c1,048$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.037949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Damian Pinas71c1,021$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.138851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Cesar Almeida29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29017752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Cesar Almeida32c1,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Cesar Almeida31c971.67$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.550%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Cesar Almeida31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cesar Almeida48c914.02$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7310546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Damian Pinas58c905.6$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Cesar Almeida44c902.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Damian Pinas70c895.25$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.587263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Damian Pinas53c855$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6435848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Damian Pinas71c845.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.230964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Damian Pinas71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Cesar Almeida29c800.28$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Damian Pinas71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2316158.4%94 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Damian Pinas70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106172.1%44 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Damian Pinas53c695$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.658434.5%29 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Cesar Almeida31c680$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Damian Pinas71c608.45$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.451560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1507…e175backed Cesar Almeida32c601.81$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5810746.7%50 W · 57 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Cesar Almeida5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Cesar Almeida5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Damian Pinas71c573.31$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.264463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Damian Pinas70c569.4$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.825655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Damian Pinas71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3814560%87 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Cesar Almeida37c511.69$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Damian Pinas67c504.59$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.511675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Damian Pinas51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24522548%108 W · 117 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Damian Pinas70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Damian Pinas71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Cesar Almeida44c500$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.18861.4%54 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d7…5ac7backed Cesar Almeida31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Damian Pinas70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Damian Pinas71c488.94$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Cesar Almeida31c449$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.195547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Damian Pinas71c435.83$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.567068.6%48 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Damian Pinas71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Damian Pinas71c421.75$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.312060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Damian Pinas71c405.88$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.712556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cesar Almeida33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13256450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Damian Pinas66c400$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13726451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cesar Almeida31c387.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Damian Pinas72c377.88$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.533839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19c…fdd0backed Damian Pinas70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Cesar Almeida27c349.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1422438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cesar Almeida13c347$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2911240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.