UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b93dccffd662fdff87714526f6cd4c3ceaa184eb3fe45d33e51cb7ee808e84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damian Pinasof Cesar Almeida, Damian Pinas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cesar Almeida | 30c | 503,752$150,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,988.08 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cesar Almeida | 29c | 292,784$85,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,362.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 250,000$177,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,499.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 161,004$112,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,301.11 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 125,001$87,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,500.26 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 76,113$53,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,837.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 66,800$46,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,039.89 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 35,680$24,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.99 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Cesar Almeida | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 14,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Cesar Almeida | 8c | 9,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Damian Pinas | 60c | 6,895$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.1 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 6,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Damian Pinas | 69c | 5,594$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.63 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…7fadbacked Cesar Almeida | 6c | 5,301$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Damian Pinas | 68c | 5,159$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.26 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 5,129$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.56 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 4,893$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 3,078$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.65 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…3612backed Cesar Almeida | 1c | 2,845$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Cesar Almeida | 33c | 2,769$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Damian Pinas | 67c | 2,512$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Cesar Almeida | 29c | 2,426$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 2,370$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.38 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 2,204$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cesar Almeida | 34c | 2,150$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 2,143$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Cesar Almeida | 3c | 2,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 2,060$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Damian Pinas | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cesar Almeida | 50c | 1,900$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.17 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Damian Pinas | 68c | 1,899$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Cesar Almeida | 41c | 1,820$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Damian Pinas | 72c | 1,749$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.19 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Cesar Almeida | 13c | 1,720$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 1,619$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cesar Almeida | 30c | 1,587$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.08 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Damian Pinas | 69c | 1,431$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cesar Almeida | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cesar Almeida | 29c | 1,300$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 1,280$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.12 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 1,267$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.48 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 1,224$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.34 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 1,176$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cesar Almeida | 11c | 1,173$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Damian Pinas | 50c | 1,119$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Cesar Almeida | 41c | 1,093$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Damian Pinas | 65c | 1,048$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.03 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 1,021$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.13 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cesar Almeida | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Cesar Almeida | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Cesar Almeida | 31c | 971.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Cesar Almeida | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cesar Almeida | 48c | 914.02$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.73 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Damian Pinas | 58c | 905.6$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Cesar Almeida | 44c | 902.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 895.25$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Damian Pinas | 53c | 855$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 845.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cesar Almeida | 29c | 800.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Damian Pinas | 53c | 695$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.65 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 680$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 608.45$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Cesar Almeida | 32c | 601.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Cesar Almeida | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Cesar Almeida | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 573.31$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 569.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Cesar Almeida | 37c | 511.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Damian Pinas | 67c | 504.59$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Damian Pinas | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Cesar Almeida | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Damian Pinas | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 488.94$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Cesar Almeida | 31c | 449$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 435.83$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Damian Pinas | 71c | 421.75$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked Damian Pinas | 71c | 405.88$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cesar Almeida | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Damian Pinas | 66c | 400$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cesar Almeida | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Damian Pinas | 72c | 377.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…fdd0backed Damian Pinas | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cesar Almeida | 27c | 349.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cesar Almeida | 13c | 347$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Cesar Almeida win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.