TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,419,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,756,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,419,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Over48c208,663$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,663.072524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c169,645$87,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,799.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c110,997$52,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,672.151,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Under52c102,648$53,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,376.969247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under47c89,224$41,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,569.7564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under55c75,771$41,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,892.1242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under51c75,157$38,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,329.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c73,325$35,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,045.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c66,622$32,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,977.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c65,000$33,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,799.763237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under54c55,773$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c44,984$21,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,628.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over44c40,295$17,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,565.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under53c37,700$19,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,9814040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c37,582$18,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,965.882,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under56c33,991$18,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,950.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over50c33,912$16,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,95621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c31,000$14,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,12059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c29,545$15,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,424.086758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over44c27,534$12,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3488728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under65c26,531$17,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,141.218932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over60c24,844$14,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,937.624456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under54c20,579$11,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,149.1925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e1…d250backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c19,910$9,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,154.138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over48c19,588$9,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,185.7942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c17,544$9,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,278.5836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over48c14,777$7,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,684.0414045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under52c14,444$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,510.8127345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over62c13,363$8,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.0144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c12,500$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over44c12,323$5,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,892.7934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over48c11,816$5,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,125.9829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c11,111$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,977.7419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6717443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c10,264$5,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.9915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under43c10,172$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.2725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over44c9,884$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5282030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under53c9,491$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.9477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e2…cd40backed Over48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over45c8,672$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under57c8,578$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.6820547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over49c8,210$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.0710744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a9…e390backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1422437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over54c7,832$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.41,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over45c7,703$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.124647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over49c7,594$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.87452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over55c7,499$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.6820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under47c7,316$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.0233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under54c6,904$3,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,728.176056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under54c6,833$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.1117650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Over48c6,666$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.326743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over35c6,428$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.22552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c6,007$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.721,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.994344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c5,833$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.1621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over52c5,797$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.3927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under40c5,382$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.9731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over58c5,190$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.665442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c5,185$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.1487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae38…66aabacked Under59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1507723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c4,925$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.12,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c4,898$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c4,842$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.361,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Under54c4,700$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5382552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over49c4,567$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.3513857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under26c4,530$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over45c4,473$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.617943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under56c4,441$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over41c4,429$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.1736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Under52c4,406$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,365$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.1314445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over49c4,222$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.7415034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.631154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over59c4,078$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.4159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over47c4,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.923941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c3,980$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.5421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under55c3,964$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.1461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under54c3,825$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.3139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over51c3,570$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.391,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under43c3,500$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.9813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c3,497$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under49c3,376$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c3,367$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.8425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c3,350$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.672,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under54c3,246$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7531844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.