TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over13c45,304$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over13c15,364$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over11c9,600$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over13c8,663$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over8c7,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over13c7,182$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.6514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over13c5,705$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over12c4,166$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c3,840$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.022,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c3,776$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over8c3,487$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5235424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over9c2,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over8c2,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c1,651$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Over8c1,500$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over8c1,203$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.343713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over11c1,033$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over8c999.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over19c972.46$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c881.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked Over13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10412047.5%57 W · 63 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over8c729.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.882,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over10c729$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.910729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over11c561.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.85536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over13c510$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.312534.4%43 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6522731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Over13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd977…2dc4backed Over8c497.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.994025%10 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over6c434.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.415535.5%55 W · 100 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c401.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe158…509fbacked Over14c400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over13c384$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over11c373.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over10c320$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9818431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2138…ebe5backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c304.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…0367backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306423.4%15 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1435…7b52backed Over13c299.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.883625%9 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over13c298.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.827022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over12c290$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.836838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over16c285.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.791,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over12c284.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1273234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under80c262.24$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Over7c251.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.067544%33 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over7c248.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over16c243.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9319742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over18c223.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c218.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8158642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…bb92backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264030%12 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0915048%72 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over10c199.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over12c181$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ac…b255backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…9a7ebacked Over8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over12c149.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over19c146.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.751,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159445.7%43 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over10c134$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…89ebbacked Over14c133.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.664850%24 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208833%29 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over13c122.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7332317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4855…8643backed Over13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaee…d7d7backed Over11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over12c104.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135437%20 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…6651backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…9136backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010146.5%47 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a5…9fd4backed Over12c84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over24c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49a…4fb6backed Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over24c76.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4251228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over14c73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2298439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…2451backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.