Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bff69d3d338ba739182c5144b5a41f4f5bae4a771bccdba707e45ffa4a22756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 2,922$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 1,910$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 1,838$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.95 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,422$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 1,004$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 42c | 987.95$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.94 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 57c | 631.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 426.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 44c | 405.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 40c | 349.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 304.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 56c | 221.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 61c | 221.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 60c | 201.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…87d9backed Over | 58c | 172.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 111 | 64.9%72 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Under | 45c | 166.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 40c | 161.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 52c | 154.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Under | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…06adbacked Over | 58c | 131.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 116.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 105.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 43c | 98.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 58c | 86.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…bdfbbacked Over | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 59c | 74.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 52.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8f…006dbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 47.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…7a69backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Over | 58c | 34.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 43c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…e6ccbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…5a76backed Over | 56c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.