TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c4,615$3,521 inWon+$1,094.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over14c1,499$210 inLost-$209.8335424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over23c968$220 inLost-$219.961,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over23c831.9$190 inLost-$19014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Over19c617.24$117 inLost-$117.289233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over31c477.54$150 inLost-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over21c473.82$100 inLost-$10016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over21c469.99$99 inLost-$98.75745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over20c450$90 inLost-$9019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost-$1005735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c256.42$56 inLost-$55.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under75c234.31$176 inWon+$58.581,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over22c219.32$48 inLost-$48.252,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae05…7635backed Over23c176.22$40 inLost-$403135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c163$126 inWon+$36.983,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under78c159.63$125 inWon+$35.122,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under78c159.23$124 inWon+$35.032,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Over34c102.94$35 inLost-$358149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over21c102.76$22 inLost-$21.5836534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Over31c96.77$30 inLost-$307839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over21c95.24$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1298…6ffabacked Over22c50.32$11 inLost-$11.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$1018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under78c49.82$39 inWon+$10.9612871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under77c38.16$29 inWon+$8.961,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2484…7780backed Over33c35.06$12 inLost-$11.575133.3%17 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under75c28.57$21 inWon+$7.2423858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.3243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under79c25$20 inWon+$5.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Under73c20$15 inWon+$5.4916056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.