Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205cc9d6c1f91bc23484884c199f8593f697aeade8a555ab10e110f8d48b019b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 12,722$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Over | 19c | 4,766$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 3,998$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 1,526$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 29c | 1,357$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.01 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 1,350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 17c | 987.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 16c | 907$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 16c | 858$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Over | 16c | 707.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 11c | 705.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 20c | 486.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 19c | 468.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 14c | 438$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 19c | 408.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 26c | 394.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 15c | 337.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 313.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 16c | 281$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 280.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…e0f7backed Over | 16c | 248.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 18c | 216.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…65b9backed Over | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 28c | 189.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 13c | 185.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Over | 13c | 119.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 14c | 106.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 17c | 102$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 100.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 27c | 91.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 15c | 89.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 84.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…cfefbacked Over | 18c | 77.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Over | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 17c | 74.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…0e69backed Over | 14c | 72.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 70c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.