TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Argentinaof Algeria, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Algeria3c7,630$214 inLost-$2142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Algeria4c7,208$270 inLost-$270.2311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Algeria2c7,169$122 inLost-$1223067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Algeria2c7,097$143 inLost-$143.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Algeria3c7,023$210 inLost-$209.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Algeria4c6,586$250 inLost-$250.2835446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Algeria3c6,261$197 inLost-$197.211,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Algeria3c4,669$160 inLost-$159.853,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Algeria3c4,156$112 inLost-$112.2221333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Algeria3c3,822$118 inLost-$117.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Algeria3c3,202$100 inLost-$10024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0910…2668backed Algeria4c3,080$120 inLost-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Algeria4c3,004$111 inLost-$111.167129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Algeria2c2,014$49 inLost-$49.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Algeria3c1,166$35 inLost-$34.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Algeria4c1,018$38 inLost-$3819935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Algeria3c1,006$30 inLost-$301739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Algeria3c979.09$30 inLost-$3010234.3%35 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Algeria2c855.31$18 inLost-$18.042,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Algeria4c743.59$29 inLost-$2954917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…ebb6backed Algeria3c666.67$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Algeria3c561.25$18 inLost-$17.7992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Algeria3c455.71$14 inLost-$13.5795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Algeria3c450.71$14 inLost-$14.273,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf919…9e16backed Algeria3c436.33$13 inLost-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Algeria4c366.68$15 inLost-$15.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Algeria4c319.99$12 inLost-$121,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Algeria11c230.07$26 inLost-$26.1714556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…239fbacked Algeria6c211.27$13 inLost-$12.994134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Algeria7c164$11 inLost-$11.3838960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba4b…315cbacked Algeria13c89.6$11 inLost-$11.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.