TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$822,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$898,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c71,279$53,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,864.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under73c41,489$30,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,190.8877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under74c38,558$28,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0254158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under61c24,573$15,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,491.74235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over42c23,816$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c19,585$7,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c13,950$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.891,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over27c13,879$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over26c13,461$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.831,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over19c12,500$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.9810840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c12,409$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over49c11,056$5,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.178728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c10,807$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under79c9,889$7,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.2864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under73c9,768$7,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.241,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under61c9,582$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.3144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c5…dbcfbacked Over23c9,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0702133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over24c8,135$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.8734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over25c7,949$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.0134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over47c7,480$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5332,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under57c7,030$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.5666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under56c7,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,07015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.762556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over27c6,666$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.8214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under76c6,656$5,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.3815844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over34c6,008$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.5839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Under77c5,890$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under56c5,534$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.4339933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under63c5,430$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.7612862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over27c5,364$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.182,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Under73c4,556$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.4918739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c4,333$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under58c4,311$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.663542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Over25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under59c3,551$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.8633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa698…fc64backed Under79c3,001$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.132441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4409839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over34c2,923$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.0227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over45c2,913$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.61,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over30c2,802$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under79c2,788$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.2820262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c2,595$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c2,448$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0838…63b1backed Under80c2,408$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.811435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over37c2,360$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.5531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Under75c2,306$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.617346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under68c2,209$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.2337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Under75c2,198$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.446361.9%39 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under70c2,190$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1726949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over27c2,117$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Under67c2,097$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.231070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+146%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0314246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…96f6backed Over27c2,022$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.942171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over27c1,957$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…f43cbacked Over27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under64c1,829$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.9515040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over25c1,765$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.111,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over26c1,717$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over14c1,659$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2912432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under58c1,648$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.971844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Over48c1,595$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.213158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over36c1,562$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under79c1,481$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.021,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under63c1,424$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under68c1,392$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.5832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over46c1,379$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fe4…5187backed Under75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over21c1,302$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under67c1,296$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over23c1,296$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under80c1,284$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.755048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under55c1,279$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over49c1,212$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4221641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.127047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over16c1,199$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over34c1,163$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed9…c813backed Over26c1,129$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.611414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over25c1,095$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.855740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c1,093$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under71c1,085$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under74c1,065$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over20c1,020$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…b870backed Under77c1,012$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.862661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Over26c992.31$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebbf…3b77backed Over26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.