Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89bcb9962bde4aa6bb95486aa06ee82f8144fb802d36c9e705e6fa007ff2a787

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $527,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $512,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under	2c	54,685$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.3	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	7c	49,112$3,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,238.96	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	8c	37,578$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.83	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	3c	27,564$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.57	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	7c	25,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	8c	19,065$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.56	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	2c	15,208$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	7c	14,115$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.86	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under	7c	13,899$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.91	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+86%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under	1c	13,786$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.86	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	7c	10,371$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.24	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under	5c	10,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	132	68.2%90 W · 42 L	+20.0wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd41…e14fbacked Under	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	4c	6,250$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.88	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Under	7c	4,939$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.74	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	7c	4,912$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.86	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	6c	4,444$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.64	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…6d6dbacked Under	7c	4,210$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.72	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	3,826$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.39	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	8c	3,814$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.01	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	1c	3,738$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	2c	3,255$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	4c	3,089$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.63	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	7c	2,979$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.5	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under	7c	2,680$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.1	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under	7c	2,666$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.97	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under	1c	1,969$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	7c	1,801$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.75	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	5c	1,747$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under	7c	1,720$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.43	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	7c	1,499$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.91	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	2c	1,333$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	7c	1,300$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	8c	1,275$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c51…8001backed Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under	1c	1,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	6c	999.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	128	31.3%40 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under	7c	988$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.16	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	7c	939.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.47	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x748a…2df7backed Under	7c	899$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.93	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	2c	759$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	6c	683.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under	6c	499.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	7c	314.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5992…99e4backed Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	8c	271.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	6c	243.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	7c	240$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under	8c	207.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ce…8c14backed Under	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Under	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Under	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Under	8c	174.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Under	8c	160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	252	21.4%54 W · 198 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2494…9405backed Under	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	145	12.4%18 W · 127 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event