Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe32a0fe589e32bc137217f8186089d7ab4a13f3aa1025620fb92393f159568c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Over | 13c | 30,694$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 5,811$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 18c | 3,674$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.16 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 12c | 2,822$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.34 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Over | 13c | 2,166$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +351%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 1,398$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 53c | 1,316$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 17c | 1,147$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 857.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 15c | 826.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 74c | 810.52$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 758.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…9b40backed Over | 12c | 604.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 450$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 43c | 450$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 11c | 394.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 77c | 190$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…28aebacked Over | 8c | 132.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 10c | 111.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 76c | 109.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 11c | 103.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 101.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 23c | 67.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 19c | 64.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.