Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfcf09fb53ae317a24091dd1772d5f36cac719a80bf5f34a81cfccd4f24f93d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 32,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 6c | 23,000$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.03 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 22,008$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…6d81backed Over | 6c | 13,507$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 6c | 7,523$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Over | 3c | 7,306$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 6c | 6,839$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 5c | 5,040$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…6d6dbacked Over | 3c | 4,708$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 4c | 4,225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 6c | 4,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Over | 4c | 3,999$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 5c | 2,342$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 1,727$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Over | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…96ddbacked Over | 6c | 1,633$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…95a3backed Over | 10c | 1,534$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 6c | 1,204$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 2c | 1,155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 1,029$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 5c | 988$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Over | 5c | 948.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 5c | 867.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 6c | 835$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 6c | 799.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over | 6c | 773.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 5c | 653$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…8cfebacked Over | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Over | 5c | 505.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 5c | 423.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 5c | 405.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 4c | 405.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 9c | 338.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 4c | 328.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Over | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 6c | 235.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Over | 6c | 225$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 5c | 201$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 6c | 200.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…d028backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…210ebacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5this page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.