TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c184,862$75,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,308.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c48,373$27,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,865.674,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over57c43,168$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,668.4119644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c43,121$24,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,410.852,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c40,875$17,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,365.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c40,321$22,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,392.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over76c24,064$18,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.295669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c22,500$9,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,674.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c20,000$11,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,643.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c19,713$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under44c19,674$8,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,610.7653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c14,059$5,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,972.491,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c12,499$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.5412254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c12,353$4,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3009551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over60c9,352$5,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.139929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over59c9,349$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.7827433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c7,197$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over63c5,933$3,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.191,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5d…85dbbacked Over60c5,839$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c5,535$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c4,477$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under44c4,048$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.4446550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over80c3,844$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.141,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c3,616$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.532,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over56c3,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.6714445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under44c3,396$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.388942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over69c3,126$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9764035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9826445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under43c2,724$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c2,677$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.171,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad7…0265backed Over59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over65c2,374$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.5315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked Over56c2,199$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.566237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over64c2,123$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.31,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c2,044$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c1,852$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Over57c1,726$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.232650%13 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c1,694$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.3830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Over56c1,689$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.074650%23 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over63c1,503$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.441,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c1,410$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.883,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…d2d4backed Over57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.795100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c1,243$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Over58c1,179$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.942060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c1,099$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Over53c1,095$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.655145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under42c1,071$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over56c999.98$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over57c875.31$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.423743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under41c861.75$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.231,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over60c833.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under39c821.86$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over54c799.98$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Over60c783.43$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.436238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over56c720.51$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0214134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over61c699.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27312040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under46c657.05$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c641$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.172,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c640.11$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.812,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over58c618.04$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Over66c606.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under42c562.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.641,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa5…3689backed Over72c544.67$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.511631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over55c543.44$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.221,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over57c530$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.913948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over59c504.3$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.310756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd0…9192backed Under39c464.34$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over57c462.2$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over65c413.55$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8317357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under46c392.05$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9447546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c389.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.311,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.617358.9%43 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over76c380.71$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9899…387bbacked Over53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.116655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1422622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under16c354.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.172,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8816943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…5a0dbacked Over58c331.29$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.142846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over59c322.39$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over76c319$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.562,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4f…4594backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over67c299.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.