TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,996$1,428 inLost-$1,427.931,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under55c1,804$1,000 inWon+$804.162740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under52c999.99$520 inWon+$4803464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over45c624.99$281 inLost-$281.251,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed Under52c396.35$206 inWon+$190.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon+$184.622365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Under76c370.84$282 inWon+$88.631752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over24c359.79$86 inLost-$86.3510137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under52c186.54$97 inWon+$89.542161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under80c156$124 inWon+$31.552,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under80c155.05$124 inWon+$31.012,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under79c120.34$95 inWon+$25.2761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over26c84.49$22 inLost-$21.977630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed Under79c63$50 inWon+$13.235569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over27c37.77$10 inLost-$10.220553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x862d…6eb7backed Under59c29.15$17 inWon+$12.074141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c29.15$12 inLost-$12.071,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under79c20$16 inWon+$4.31,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under69c19$13 inWon+$5.896253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c16.53$13 inWon+$3.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under78c15$12 inWon+$3.354859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31d…a5a3backed Under78c12.75$10 inWon+$2.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.