TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x35b8…5e92backed Under1c7,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under40c5,529$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over62c3,847$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.678728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under1c3,214$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c3,142$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under38c3,023$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.6961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under37c2,017$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2924635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over63c1,625$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.191,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.927820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c1,425$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under38c1,270$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.179233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under37c1,169$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c919.58$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under39c738$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over60c622.17$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c617.47$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.812,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under39c501.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.576640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19517518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over62c404.6$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7529558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over60c403.81$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.133,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c388.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under39c384.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over62c356.13$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.821,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over63c335.71$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2110844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4612224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under39c305.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11921240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11110855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009317.2%16 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over68c251$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.326549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9418340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c203.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over62c200.01$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over63c181.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.113,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…3547backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda78…393abacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1926…7f27backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c143.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.976665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under37c117.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.361,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under39c108.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.379047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under39c105.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.059957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under38c102.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.851429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00da…a87ebacked Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3813058.5%76 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7710450%52 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over62c83.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf077…748abacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c66.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.562,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cb…d4d1backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.523839.5%15 W · 23 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under39c61.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9211252.7%59 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over62c60.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8810…fa4dbacked Over63c57.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x074e…dc0fbacked Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205836.2%21 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over62c49.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa72…dc07backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.396838.2%26 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under38c39.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.067045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8247029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7116052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over61c38.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over64c32.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6436329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2611839.8%47 W · 71 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2618637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2563152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52e…643ebacked Under39c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Over62c30.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.516352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under37c30.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over62c29.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.819558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5e…fb3fbacked Over62c25.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6328646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.