IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba35dca1936ac2b2109613c8391b665683ff20b5359d73602af1f9c154ca4e2d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $113,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,156 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under	10c	17,524$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.42	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	10c	11,068$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.21	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	10c	6,311$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.1	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Under	12c	3,892$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under	10c	3,128$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.84	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	10c	3,018$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.8	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	10c	2,126$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.61	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Under	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	11c	1,846$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Under	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under	10c	1,787$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.68	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	10c	1,550$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	11c	1,459$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	11c	1,420$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.61	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	10c	999.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under	11c	900$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	4c	842$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.42	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	10c	797.7$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.53	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	11c	796.38$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.6	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	10c	789.89$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Under	10c	646.51$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.65	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	11c	643.06$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	10c	561.94$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.78	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cf…ba86backed Under	12c	477.78$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	32.2%56 W · 118 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	10c	433.72$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	10c	420$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	10c	385.56$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	11c	370$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Under	11c	327.27$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Under	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under	11c	207.54$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b5…b789backed Under	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Under	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	12.4%18 W · 127 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c2…2034backed Under	10c	109.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under	11c	94.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5this page
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event