Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f456ceb851e5f2c739829af61fd5063e9645a59746dfbf721f908ff53cccae9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New Zealandof IR Iran, New Zealand
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $914,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $901,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,039 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed New Zealand	74c	436,305$322,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113,439.33	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed IR Iran	26c	427,581$111,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,046.72	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Zealand	78c	70,918$55,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,905.56	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed IR Iran	16c	38,565$6,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,026.46	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New Zealand	73c	31,598$23,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,531.33	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed IR Iran	27c	25,000$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed IR Iran	26c	20,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked IR Iran	27c	18,276$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked IR Iran	26c	15,476$4,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,052.28	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed New Zealand	72c	15,323$11,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,290.46	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New Zealand	75c	15,076$11,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,793.93	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed New Zealand	73c	13,993$10,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,778.13	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed IR Iran	27c	12,294$3,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,344.95	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed New Zealand	74c	12,000$8,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.97	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked IR Iran	11c	11,221$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.27	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked New Zealand	73c	10,000$7,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.98	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New Zealand	79c	9,919$7,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.37	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked IR Iran	27c	7,226$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.99	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed IR Iran	27c	6,678$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.63	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed IR Iran	9c	6,666$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.94	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed IR Iran	26c	5,821$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.01	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New Zealand	73c	5,727$4,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.8	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked IR Iran	27c	5,667$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed IR Iran	27c	5,556$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed IR Iran	27c	5,413$1,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.51	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…6789backed IR Iran	27c	5,204$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed IR Iran	28c	5,187$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.28	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed New Zealand	74c	4,800$3,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.99	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed IR Iran	26c	4,401$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed IR Iran	25c	4,158$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.58	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed IR Iran	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked IR Iran	26c	3,840$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed New Zealand	73c	3,692$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.88	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed New Zealand	74c	3,600$2,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed IR Iran	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed IR Iran	8c	3,378$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.25	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed IR Iran	16c	3,059$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed New Zealand	73c	3,000$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed New Zealand	75c	2,759$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.75	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked IR Iran	15c	2,746$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.96	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked IR Iran	27c	2,699$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.2	93	57%53 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6735…648cbacked IR Iran	26c	2,630$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked IR Iran	16c	2,444$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.61	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked New Zealand	73c	2,405$1,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.41	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-9.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed New Zealand	74c	2,400$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed New Zealand	74c	2,400$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed IR Iran	25c	2,375$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.32	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed IR Iran	19c	2,214$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed IR Iran	26c	2,162$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.08	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed IR Iran	12c	2,136$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.32	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked IR Iran	11c	2,055$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.24	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New Zealand	73c	2,043$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.43	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked New Zealand	79c	2,026$1,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.46	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked IR Iran	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed IR Iran	26c	1,941$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.6	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked IR Iran	27c	1,852$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked IR Iran	25c	1,840$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	140	35.7%50 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New Zealand	73c	1,816$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.31	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked New Zealand	74c	1,800$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed New Zealand	74c	1,800$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked IR Iran	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked IR Iran	17c	1,711$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.31	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed New Zealand	74c	1,678$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.35	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed IR Iran	13c	1,674$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.55	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed IR Iran	26c	1,605$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.32	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked IR Iran	26c	1,600$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed IR Iran	25c	1,600$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked New Zealand	74c	1,550$1,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.22	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed IR Iran	26c	1,514$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.74	142	43.7%62 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed IR Iran	27c	1,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked IR Iran	27c	1,444$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed IR Iran	7c	1,405$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.03	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked IR Iran	26c	1,381$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.79	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed IR Iran	27c	1,327$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.38	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New Zealand	77c	1,321$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.97	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed IR Iran	2c	1,276$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked IR Iran	20c	1,217$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.5	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed IR Iran	27c	1,207$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.92	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked IR Iran	27c	1,204$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed New Zealand	74c	1,200$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked New Zealand	74c	1,200$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked New Zealand	74c	1,149$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.63	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+92.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed IR Iran	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed IR Iran	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed IR Iran	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed IR Iran	26c	1,064$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.64	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed IR Iran	10c	1,026$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed IR Iran	28c	1,001$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.28	142	26.8%38 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New Zealand	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	309	50.8%157 W · 152 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed New Zealand	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed New Zealand	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed New Zealand	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked IR Iran	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed IR Iran	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked IR Iran	26c	999.54$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.89	114	43%49 W · 65 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked New Zealand	75c	971.19$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.14	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0834…b743backed IR Iran	27c	958.62$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.75	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f1…3111backed IR Iran	27c	956.93$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.37	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed IR Iran	43c	937.56$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.93	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked New Zealand	74c	936$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.36	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)this page
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event