IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab3477ec6678660875f6446e834862f25bd691c6d944a0543288a6cc221de32

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	41,074$22,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,121.66	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	28,611$12,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,266.74	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500.05	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	58c	3,162$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.07	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	54c	2,409$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.08	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	57c	2,085$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.74	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over	52c	1,310$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.22	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	18c	1,250$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.98	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	45c	1,233$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.69	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	12c	1,050$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.2	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	751.28$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.51	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	18c	660$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.62	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over	49c	625.9$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+10.7wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	18c	604.71$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.86	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	43c	457.42$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.69	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	433.48$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.89	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	58c	426.34$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.28	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	53c	399.76$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.89	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over	55c	312.38$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.76	188	27.7%52 W · 136 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	202	24.8%50 W · 152 L	-15.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	18c	252.95$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.42	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over	41c	245$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.55	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over	17c	240$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.4	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	48c	228.46$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.66	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	45c	210.48$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.72	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over	17c	199.98$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.99	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	14c	196.72$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	138	62.3%86 W · 52 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	18c	179.26$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.99	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over	19c	157.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.89	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	17c	142.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	52c	140.69$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.16	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over	19c	131.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.58	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	53c	126.02$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	79c	121.77$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.74	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	20c	120.57$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.48	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	54c	114.44$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.07	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Over	51c	111.27$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.62	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	54c	111.11$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.11	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over	19c	104.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.84	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9717…bd55backed Over	48c	102.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	52c	97.77$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under	48c	96.44$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.29	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Under	59c	93.22$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb795…020cbacked Over	52c	92.74$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.39	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	18c	92.65$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.98	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	52c	91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under	58c	85.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…76babacked Over	38c	84.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.69	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	42c	74$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.92	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	55c	73.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Under	52c	72.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+10.2wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	47c	67.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.99	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	27c	67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.91	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Over	45c	66.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over	56c	62.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.31	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	72c	59.47$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	165	56.4%93 W · 72 L	-17.5wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under	48c	57.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	429	52%223 W · 206 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	49c	56.71$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	58c	54.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…9bfebacked Over	48c	54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2966…de11backed Over	53c	48.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x492e…d5babacked Under	59c	46.61$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	49c	46.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x840c…e655backed Over	42c	40.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Over	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over	46c	37.39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.19	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+16.7wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	61c	34.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under	52c	23.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	305	47.2%144 W · 161 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	49c	21.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x1fad…7667backed Over	54c	19.59$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.09	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	78c	17.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5this page
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event