TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under36c50,101$18,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,036.3242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c18,946$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over67c14,900$9,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,91714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c11,401$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under35c9,774$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.6277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c9,158$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under10c8,889$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c8,473$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.9716050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c6,532$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c6,066$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,233$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under1c4,233$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under8c4,047$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over67c3,749$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Under30c3,620$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over66c3,610$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.691,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under2c3,542$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over66c3,259$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.3630465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under35c2,972$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over65c2,773$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.551,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked Under36c2,758$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9932055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Over66c2,170$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.715157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over65c2,102$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.6714463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c2,047$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.841,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Over65c1,785$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57622639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.463360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.153467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…07d7backed Over66c1,513$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.492222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Over64c1,466$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.764250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,417$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked Over65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Over66c1,391$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0712032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under9c1,200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Over67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0315249.3%75 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under4c1,189$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2811044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over66c1,177$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.239462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65aa…10e7backed Over66c1,149$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under36c1,056$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38019744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c1,002$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.531,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae83…0f9dbacked Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004833.3%16 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under33c999.95$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.321,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under34c871.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over65c860.71$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c826.73$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.091,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…8e62backed Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.251735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c770.86$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.511,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a3…fa45backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…f43cbacked Over66c748.39$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c747.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.752,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over66c735.91$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.582,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x244e…3740backed Under36c682.31$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Over67c679.41$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2121146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under14c666.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.391,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under34c650$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.031,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.388058.8%47 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under34c576.03$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adb…e046backed Over65c575.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Under7c567.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.324311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over66c562.59$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2822551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c495.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over65c446.15$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1512343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Under35c445.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over77c408.29$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked Over64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f6…0ee8backed Under36c396.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.733447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under34c382.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.111,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdafd…b52bbacked Over66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.795667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under11c357.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over66c333.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3316552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under17c310.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under11c307.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8616452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a5…2703backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over65c306.25$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.191,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over66c304.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5524162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0326343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Over66c299.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.993868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9499…d5bbbacked Over66c298.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Under5c296.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over65c295.58$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.458831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under12c293.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004015%6 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under36c280.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a0…9024backed Over66c274.14$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4c…995fbacked Over64c274.08$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512013.3%16 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over66c231$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5414866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over65c229.65$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3811436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under34c229$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.921,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.