IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2f9c0a53a89829359e8c16cb8546a895d157b2d71da3cbddaa2e66deb34738

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	23c	12,027$2,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,731.78	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over	78c	11,985$9,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,636.68	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over	79c	7,096$5,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.75	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	22c	5,240$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.17	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	22c	3,036$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.85	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	22c	1,135$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	77c	1,015$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.33	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	22c	999.92$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.98	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	22c	931.76$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.99	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over	77c	800$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Over	78c	705.72$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.72	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	22c	665.58$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.2	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	22c	454.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.15	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	78c	414.2$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.12	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over	75c	412.32$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.08	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over	78c	384.66$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.66	136	65.4%89 W · 47 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46f…8e5ebacked Over	78c	366.26$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.58	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-84%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3659…be76backed Over	78c	352.56$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.56	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over	78c	324.71$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.09	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	23c	310.08$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.62	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	78c	299.08$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.4	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over	80c	298.09$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.49	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+10.7wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf606…20b0backed Over	78c	265.38$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	77c	223.16$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.04	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	24c	199$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.76	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	22c	137.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	22c	137.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	77c	126$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.94	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	20c	125.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Under	22c	120$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Under	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…216abacked Under	26c	102.19$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Over	78c	101.28$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.28	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	77c	99.98$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	21c	99.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Over	79c	88.61$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adf…ade7backed Over	80c	69.83$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.16	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	77c	63.26$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.59	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over	79c	58.23$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.23	297	66.7%198 W · 99 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over	79c	55.56$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	273	63.4%173 W · 100 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over	79c	50.3$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	156	67.9%106 W · 50 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c6…249cbacked Under	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3919…d70cbacked Over	79c	49.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	22c	46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bf…03d1backed Over	78c	44.87$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01d…dda2backed Over	78c	35.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.9	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	76c	34.71$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb129…c058backed Over	80c	28.13$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…c99fbacked Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a0…0a8ebacked Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	79c	22.53$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	77c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.83	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…c9e6backed Over	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Over	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cb…99ebbacked Over	78c	17.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.95	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5this page
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event