TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c30,387$15,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,204.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over45c16,659$7,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,162.456929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c9,606$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,470.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c7,366$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c6,511$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c5,283$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c5,121$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c4,007$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.81,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c3,813$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.332,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under58c2,538$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.149551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over45c2,223$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.512349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c2,089$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over47c2,001$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.5314226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over43c1,878$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.1864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,795$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under57c1,615$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.5153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c1,611$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.222,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Over60c1,588$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.052650%13 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff8e…1438backed Over60c1,582$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.935935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4917751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c1,287$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c1,133$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over44c1,121$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.283658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c1,100$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.972,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c961.49$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over53c950$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c807.78$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over43c647.7$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1916549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over67c631$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.741,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over53c600.49$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.694772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Under48c561.21$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.387050%35 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over43c492.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.553839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c424.82$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.91,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21229042.1%122 W · 168 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c388.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.513,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over45c386.76$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.727850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c355$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.241,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over44c344.68$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c341.67$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.521,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.919237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Over42c335.05$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3314939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over60c329.54$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8222835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ef…7761backed Over63c318.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.184654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c293.76$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over69c281.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3270948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Over43c248.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.842536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2728646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2710931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2713754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2217357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c219.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.311,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c214.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.222,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over61c206.56$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5647935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over45c204.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4421029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under17c180.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over57c175.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over74c173.09$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.791,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.85745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0b…a859backed Over60c163.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.294447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over43c155.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.778831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under56c155$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over44c154.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.351,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under25c153.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.022,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c151.7$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.993,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under30c150.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6947546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over56c142.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over46c141.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.598338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over42c130.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.335855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over47c127.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.877533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under58c127$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over74c118.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over61c116.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2810348.5%50 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.289335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…fbb5backed Over69c114.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8810144.6%45 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Over44c111.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3612237.7%46 W · 76 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111230.4%34 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.119551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over43c110.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3232642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5838…6a3abacked Over44c99.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.994045%18 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…74a0backed Over45c99.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.982737%10 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Over55c96.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.362941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over38c92.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3717047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over69c91.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.321,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.919951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over78c90.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.911,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over61c90.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8914239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over60c86.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.678846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under51c82.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.721,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Over68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.884770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.