TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Under56c31,468$17,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,471.6413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over46c24,540$11,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,327.531855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under75c21,333$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over25c18,636$4,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9771,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under15c11,197$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6532433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under12c8,782$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.938728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c7,642$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,946$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over60c5,452$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c5,234$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under3c4,477$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.537431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under28c4,467$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.6944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over36c4,057$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.811,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over26c3,395$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.4916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under44c2,973$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.288243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c2,923$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Over25c2,305$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.814233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under4c2,264$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under1c2,229$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.295541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under8c2,208$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2622932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under38c2,107$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.399233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c1,613$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under3c1,583$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under41c1,577$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.932138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b63…1923backed Over53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under15c1,370$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9913542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c1,341$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under45c1,334$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under8c1,250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under3c1,220$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.165747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over70c1,159$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.421,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…7695backed Under1c1,043$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under72c1,007$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over25c999.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.961,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under2c916.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Under19c805.09$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.631450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under16c797.88$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c794.24$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.873,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over66c756.72$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under2c756.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7942126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under54c719.54$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c687.34$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.921,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under46c619.85$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0123637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44435424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27627845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over58c563.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7510844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over59c563.03$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over57c509.67$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.169239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Under40c500.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6567…50d6backed Over27c489.81$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.811631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under8c477.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Under13c475.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over26c469.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under75c440$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under8c393.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over27c380.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.978338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over26c370.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.833447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under74c363.71$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.111,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over59c363.51$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over25c362$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c353.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c353.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under55c347.32$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.738643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under56c318.35$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6917460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Over26c315.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.321146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under7c312.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8814131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over26c307.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over31c251$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1911338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.56536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over54c232.86$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1816325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Over43c228.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.328626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over49c227.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.326838.2%26 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.24334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over53c213.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Under56c207.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.132245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under19c205.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3611743.6%51 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under42c204.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7916452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over59c203$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.236665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966354%34 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over49c196.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4513830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over48c182.06$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7619838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under42c180.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7629639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under22c175.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.514647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under41c173.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7232740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over59c169.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6927655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0462452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under11c164.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.587741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under42c139.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under75c136$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under53c133.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.