Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ddc6c683b04679fdfd2f2033ee3d20dd22e6c7a49d944c183b4e024c3d444e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 56c | 31,468$17,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,471.64 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…b4fabacked Over | 46c | 24,540$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,327.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Under | 75c | 21,333$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 25c | 18,636$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,977 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 15c | 11,197$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Under | 12c | 8,782$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.93 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 7,642$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,946$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 60c | 5,452$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.8 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 56c | 5,234$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 3c | 4,477$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 28c | 4,467$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.69 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 36c | 4,057$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.81 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…850fbacked Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 26c | 3,395$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.49 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed Under | 44c | 2,973$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.28 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 2,923$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…71f4backed Over | 25c | 2,305$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.81 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 2,264$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under | 1c | 2,229$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 8c | 2,208$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed Under | 38c | 2,107$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.39 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 1,613$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 3c | 1,583$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +152%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 41c | 1,577$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…1923backed Over | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 15c | 1,370$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 1,341$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.98 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 45c | 1,334$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 8c | 1,250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…5e89backed Under | 3c | 1,220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 70c | 1,159$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…7695backed Under | 1c | 1,043$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 1,007$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 25c | 999.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.96 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 2c | 916.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 34.9%61 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…257ebacked Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Under | 19c | 805.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 16c | 797.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 74c | 794.24$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 66c | 756.72$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Under | 2c | 756.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 54c | 719.54$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 60c | 687.34$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.92 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 46c | 619.85$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…4a4cbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Over | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 58c | 563.72$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 59c | 563.03$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.89 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 57c | 509.67$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Under | 40c | 500.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…50d6backed Over | 27c | 489.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 8c | 477.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Under | 13c | 475.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 26c | 469.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 440$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 8c | 393.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…cb2dbacked Over | 27c | 380.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.97 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 26c | 370.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 74c | 363.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 59c | 363.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 25c | 362$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 353.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 353.34$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 55c | 347.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 56c | 318.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 26c | 315.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 31c | 251$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Over | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 54c | 232.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Over | 43c | 228.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Over | 49c | 227.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 53c | 213.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…f90ebacked Under | 56c | 207.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Under | 19c | 205.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 42c | 204.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 59c | 203$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 49c | 196.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 48c | 182.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…8f21backed Under | 22c | 175.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 173.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under | 11c | 164.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 139.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 75c | 136$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 53c | 133.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.