IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3dce8a5e9b68fdfe3d3993b2b7c666a50d00a22b8f69608dbfe2d24576c7a6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $248,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $265,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	3c	27,657$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.17	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	10c	17,297$1,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,762.42	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over	3c	15,000$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.35	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	15c	12,700$1,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,896.07	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	11c	8,872$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.54	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	12c	7,568$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.38	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	19c	7,464$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.18	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	78c	6,479$5,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.7	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	12c	4,652$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.68	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	6c	4,291$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.85	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Over	17c	4,028$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.54	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	3c	3,223$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.58	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over	23c	2,780$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.46	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	16c	2,731$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.63	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	4c	2,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over	24c	1,954$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.31	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over	3c	1,875$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	30	20%6 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	3c	1,699$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.67	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	14c	1,624$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.63	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	3c	1,600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over	3c	1,546$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over	15c	1,314$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.1	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	16c	1,294$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.01	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over	16c	1,223$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.73	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	32cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	21c	1,178$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Over	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	74	0%0 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under	78c	1,000$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	3c	917.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Over	14c	857.14$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	3c	801.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over	22c	715.82$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	6c	662.21$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	10c	634.26$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Over	3c	588.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	3c	548.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	14c	541.63$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	3c	516.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	7c	500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Over	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	145	12.4%18 W · 127 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	15c	451.26$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.14	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	79c	448.28$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.28	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a3…ae8fbacked Over	3c	396.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	78c	380.7$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.61	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	12c	332.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…c0efbacked Over	3c	326.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over	22c	270$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.59	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Under	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0689…151bbacked Over	6c	249.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under	78c	199.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.6	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	16c	199.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Under	78c	168.68$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.94	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d10…37ebbacked Over	12c	168.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1137…cbffbacked Over	20c	150.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	79c	146.37$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.45	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	9c	142.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	13c	137.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	9c	125.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over	21c	120$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over	19c	106.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc46…a4f8backed Over	21c	104.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	17c	104.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Under	78c	100.03$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9222…09b5backed Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over	20c	99.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3bb…21eabacked Over	15c	91.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…35cebacked Over	23c	86.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	19c	83.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a3…fa45backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44fe…301dbacked Over	23c	45.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c4…4d9fbacked Over	23c	45.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2a…a44dbacked Over	23c	45.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…64e5backed Over	23c	45.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d5…de1abacked Over	23c	45.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86c…7a3cbacked Over	23c	45.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4429…75c3backed Under	80c	17.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.52	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5this page
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event