TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0561…51c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$125.85
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$683.4
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$622.65
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.26
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.91
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,219.98
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.61
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$145.44
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.64
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.38
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.7
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.27
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$276
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.03
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.99
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$454.39
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will FURIA qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$282.5
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.8
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$328.03
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$36.83
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.15
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$382.58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$162.51
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,329.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.