TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked fnatic58c4,377$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.85532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic51c2,701$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.625,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TDK52c2,655$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.723,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked TDK36c2,361$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.875742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed TDK43c2,355$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.4828738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked fnatic77c1,771$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2513760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TDK40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.981,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic20c1,725$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.091,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic74c1,399$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.422,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed fnatic64c1,398$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.241,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK36c1,381$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.186,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK45c1,304$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.347,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked TDK22c1,142$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked fnatic31c1,142$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.461,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked TDK43c1,046$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.932360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic60c1,043$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.331,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic56c1,042$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.355,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed fnatic59c1,011$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6784658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed TDK40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic42c997$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.793,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed fnatic47c982.92$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.621,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked TDK42c949.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked fnatic60c824.13$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed TDK31c817.45$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3323335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked fnatic19c806.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.9553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked fnatic65c760.46$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.822,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed fnatic60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic9c659.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.722,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…611ebacked TDK72c635$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic59c625$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.91,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TDK40c580.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.225,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed TDK18c562.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.271,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked TDK43c562.42$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.072,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed TDK63c560$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed TDK32c535.65$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7938835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cc8…8255backed TDK44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed fnatic75c499.6$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.951,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed TDK45c459.49$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20514929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked TDK34c451.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.35226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK33c439.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.25,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed TDK59c431.19$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed fnatic69c430.77$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5440439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd12…7091backed TDK50c423.15$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.082941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TDK47c418.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.982,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TDK56c417.96$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.224,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked TDK37c402.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14910938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed TDK49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked TDK42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed TDK30c324.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2530527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed fnatic64c312.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed fnatic34c308.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3223245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked fnatic57c303.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed fnatic60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed TDK45c299.3$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6539946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TDK52c293.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.694,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed fnatic74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2748562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed TDK18c269.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4418530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked TDK55c265.87$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2327549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bf…4c01backed fnatic55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed TDK47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.556738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb710…a6babacked fnatic56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked fnatic53c247.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5910855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked TDK43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.991648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed fnatic50c234.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9112355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TDK47c222.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.472,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TDK37c205.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.984,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed TDK60c203.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223456.8%133 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed fnatic60c202.77$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1133950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic63c202.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.852,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed fnatic15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17041436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed fnatic58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked fnatic10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed TDK23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618450%92 W · 92 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed fnatic15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17057935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed fnatic49c195.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed fnatic25c195.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.073036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked fnatic51c192.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.920744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked fnatic57c190.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8519540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9233…b93abacked fnatic62c187$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.963458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked TDK71c184.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035249.7%175 W · 177 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TDK41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.82,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed fnatic57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked fnatic78c174.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked TDK78c156.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12211153.2%59 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked TDK31c154.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.049445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked TDK19c150.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.558048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed fnatic59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic15c150$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked TDK41c149.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.749137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed TDK62c138.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked fnatic58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.935451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…a334backed TDK64c133$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.12850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed TDK77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005058%29 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed TDK64c129.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.791,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed TDK40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,06937.8%404 W · 665 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TDK45c123.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed TDK45c117.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.288748.3%42 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed fnatic18c117.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic60c115.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63c…c577backed fnatic80c110.35$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.