CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a96115151e1dcd1512c833d46db592e68ea38cfce973fa8e5a32e6b2217aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 39c | 1,499$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 50c | 1,140$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TDK | 60c | 946.62$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.67 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic | 56c | 867.58$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.23 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed TDK | 61c | 810.31$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked TDK | 39c | 684.45$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 50c | 648.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed fnatic | 34c | 546$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.64 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked fnatic | 38c | 543.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed TDK | 39c | 519.45$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 36c | 511.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.46 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 32c | 413.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic | 45c | 363$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 30c | 346.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TDK | 45c | 334.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed fnatic | 61c | 305.88$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked TDK | 36c | 289.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked fnatic | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…2824backed TDK | 27c | 241.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked fnatic | 40c | 222$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed fnatic | 36c | 200.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked fnatic | 27c | 186.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed fnatic | 61c | 177.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 52c | 176$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed fnatic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 39c | 173.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed TDK | 10c | 157.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TDK | 69c | 155.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked fnatic | 30c | 153.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 42c | 145.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TDK | 43c | 103.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TDK | 66c | 99.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 33c | 96.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked fnatic | 25c | 96.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…be8ebacked fnatic | 44c | 90.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 54c | 89.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed fnatic | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 45c | 76.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed fnatic | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed fnatic | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed TDK | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed TDK | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked fnatic | 32c | 51.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed TDK | 56c | 50.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 61c | 50.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked fnatic | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked fnatic | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TDK | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed fnatic | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed fnatic | 64c | 41.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked fnatic | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked TDK | 80c | 34.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed fnatic | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed TDK | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed fnatic | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…3b09backed fnatic | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.