CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3ff80e8273d0d5357bff29267910dea3bde48070444e7e9e65bd781843eca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNC | 16c | 86,496$13,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,818.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TNC | 15c | 10,477$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Phantom | 80c | 9,033$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.89 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 15c | 8,183$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.66 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 11c | 3,039$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…0559backed Phantom | 67c | 2,058$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 16c | 1,787$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed TNC | 15c | 1,372$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Phantom | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed TNC | 16c | 879.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 15c | 823.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed TNC | 19c | 775.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 17c | 738.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed TNC | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed TNC | 16c | 486.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed TNC | 15c | 464.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked TNC | 13c | 437.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 13c | 437$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TNC | 16c | 404.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed TNC | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed TNC | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 14c | 393$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 21c | 341$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom | 79c | 294.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TNC | 16c | 288.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0561…51c7backed TNC | 14c | 270$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed TNC | 20c | 264$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed TNC | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked TNC | 34c | 245.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TNC | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed TNC | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed TNC | 16c | 193.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked TNC | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed TNC | 21c | 182.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed TNC | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed TNC | 13c | 180.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TNC | 20c | 165.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 16c | 152.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TNC | 20c | 149.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed TNC | 13c | 148.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed TNC | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TNC | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 14c | 136.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Phantom | 79c | 135.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed TNC | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed TNC | 14c | 129.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Phantom | 79c | 127.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed TNC | 13c | 121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed TNC | 12c | 115.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked TNC | 19c | 113.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 12c | 113.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked TNC | 14c | 103.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed TNC | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…928dbacked TNC | 32c | 73.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked TNC | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked TNC | 23c | 61.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Phantom | 79c | 59.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed Phantom | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…3d33backed Phantom | 76c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 422 | 74.2%313 W · 109 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Phantom | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…62c8backed Phantom | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Phantom | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…e27cbacked Phantom | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.