CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f9cefbed33f7f2ba6d06db569101af2ace01f73f552dfd8f00e09a43bf54dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNC | 20c | 15,408$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom | 72c | 4,604$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.47 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TNC | 20c | 3,837$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.79 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Phantom | 78c | 999.99$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed TNC | 16c | 952$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 34c | 618$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed TNC | 26c | 603.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 26c | 386$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Phantom | 73c | 304.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…0559backed Phantom | 72c | 199.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 21c | 168.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Phantom | 78c | 150.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed TNC | 31c | 148.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Phantom | 67c | 135.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…7e0fbacked Phantom | 75c | 133.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 79c | 129.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed TNC | 24c | 126.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 34c | 124.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TNC | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed TNC | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed TNC | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked TNC | 30c | 83.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom | 75c | 72.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Phantom | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 67c | 66.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked TNC | 24c | 65.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Phantom | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TNC | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Phantom | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 76c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Phantom | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.