CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece8a0394c84ab23b8e6011078b0147a279d47370d8f24bf98aa8d71be69849f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TNC | 45c | 1,620$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.82 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom | 63c | 1,599$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Phantom | 50c | 1,371$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.09 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked TNC | 30c | 1,134$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.83 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed TNC | 49c | 1,118$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.64 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…7e0fbacked Phantom | 71c | 1,060$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…0559backed Phantom | 66c | 937$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TNC | 12c | 713.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Phantom | 73c | 658.58$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed TNC | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked TNC | 8c | 343.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom | 50c | 315.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed TNC | 47c | 315$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked TNC | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Phantom | 29c | 288.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 71c | 221.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed TNC | 47c | 189.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TNC | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed TNC | 35c | 123.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked TNC | 10c | 109.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TNC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Phantom | 64c | 99.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed TNC | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 71c | 77.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TNC | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Phantom | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Phantom | 55c | 45.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Phantom | 50c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c2f7backed Phantom | 50c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Phantom | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Phantom | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.