TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,505,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,601,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,505,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Over67c170,440$114,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,608.784748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c159,033$87,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,095.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under55c153,628$83,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,731.9117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c118,487$39,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,435.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under32c82,600$26,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,023.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over68c70,682$48,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,063.533458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under66c69,963$46,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,897.8242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over68c59,166$40,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,232.694148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over33c53,572$17,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,678.7621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over68c50,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,999.9317840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c45,399$7,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,593.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c39,575$18,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,934.921,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under32c31,118$9,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,160.111,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over34c24,361$8,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,293.1149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Under49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.166633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under47c13,582$6,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,210.3928251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c13,559$6,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,296.0359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over68c11,884$8,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,078.991,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over68c11,500$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8204854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c11,112$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.561,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8009253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over68c9,748$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.4210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c9,018$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over47c9,000$4,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.9743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c8,908$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over67c8,900$5,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,963.3133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over68c8,751$5,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,950.843271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c7,467$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.852,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.994734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c6,674$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1178…9fc9backed Over68c6,079$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.74757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a4…65f3backed Over67c6,061$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c6,058$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.147823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under68c5,951$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.9839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed Under31c5,510$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c5,240$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.261,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c5,019$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.922,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c4,967$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.521,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c4,709$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.491,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over3c4,700$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15322835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c4,452$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Under73c4,344$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.746233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under33c4,209$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.2927951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over17c3,889$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over3c3,812$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under40c3,463$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.5765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c3,361$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c3,352$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over9c3,291$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c3,253$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.312,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0406538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c2,903$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Under39c2,439$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.8332422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bf…366abacked Under68c2,353$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.944938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over3c2,102$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under68c2,059$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.828160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over19c2,053$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.455541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9835424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over67c1,771$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.581770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over68c1,765$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under32c1,719$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.7443635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…96f6backed Over60c1,700$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.792171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over37c1,686$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over4c1,600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Under32c1,591$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.963818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over69c1,577$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.211963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under32c1,522$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.0571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f4c…9f7dbacked Over68c1,513$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over34c1,499$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5913936%50 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under51c1,476$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c1,468$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.722,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over68c1,458$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.5614463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over68c1,382$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over31c1,371$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Over68c1,346$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.274250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under56c1,341$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.0544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under32c1,300$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.9738526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under33c1,299$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.619744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over18c1,201$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x548b…6c4bbacked Over63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over68c1,161$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.5729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over40c1,159$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46017241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over67c1,139$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.35740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c1,123$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb3…f4f6backed Under73c1,091$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under33c1,043$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Under33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6702470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under32c999.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over28c999.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9626445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over67c945.76$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.662540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c941.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.542,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.