Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Ghana (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c1451819eb04173dac5cd2e58289b9f75c7cc0a63b5d0a440f2e7936a4cd64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Ghana, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Ghana | 6c | 47,417$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ghana | 4c | 3,809$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Ghana | 7c | 3,143$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Ghana | 7c | 3,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…6fb9backed Ghana | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Ghana | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Ghana | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Ghana | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Ghana | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Ghana | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Ghana | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Ghana | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f78…c04fbacked Ghana | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…d2b6backed Ghana | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ghana | 7c | 1,041$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Ghana | 7c | 821$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Ghana | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Ghana | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Ghana | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Ghana | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Ghana | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…0d32backed Ghana | 6c | 540$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Ghana | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ghana | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ghana | 4c | 374.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Ghana | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ghana | 3c | 338$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Ghana | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Ghana | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…cf77backed Ghana | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Ghana | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…854bbacked Ghana | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Ghana | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ghana | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Ghana | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Ghana | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Ghana | 6c | 165.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)this page
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Panama (-3.5)Ghana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.