TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ca5…fd56backed Over21c65,125$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under79c25,000$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2504158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over22c20,753$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.1459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under78c17,196$13,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.1132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under79c16,928$13,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.91560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c13,221$10,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.051,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over21c10,170$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.9995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over22c7,073$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.61,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under78c6,614$5,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe0…1bb7backed Under79c6,329$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over22c4,859$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.0211122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over20c4,696$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.1624144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over14c4,520$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over22c4,214$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92723427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c3,492$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.911,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c2,785$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.8165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over22c2,727$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under80c2,572$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.474665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c2,540$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.631,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9834125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c2,295$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under79c2,263$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.331,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over19c2,102$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.712,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over22c2,068$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45514612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over21c1,834$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.091,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over22c1,800$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9922813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c1,682$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over22c1,591$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under79c1,276$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over17c1,247$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…156ebacked Over21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed Over21c1,165$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd958…f864backed Over24c956.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-55.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under78c923.26$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1238745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over19c900$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under78c843$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over22c840$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over21c799.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16815920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over21c766.14$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over22c651.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under79c641$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.72,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under79c641$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.72,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa739…c23dbacked Over22c636.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c628.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0d…07acbacked Over22c586.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over21c559.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3286…5aa4backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-89.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…3f70backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over21c460.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7312923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under78c451$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.227634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Under79c450.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.689351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over22c444.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over21c413.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.741,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under78c410$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1f…708dbacked Under78c396$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over4c367.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under78c360$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c340.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.112,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under78c327.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under79c314.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd042…07c3backed Over21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under79c306.25$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.311,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b7…1c12backed Under79c303.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.89844.9%44 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6346525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under79c285.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8617255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under80c270.3$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over23c249.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c844backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba6…680dbacked Over22c231.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed Under79c230.54$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.412055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…8f69backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506738.8%26 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018625.3%47 W · 139 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe442…fd9abacked Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c220.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ed…0f5dbacked Over21c217.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.654341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Over21c217.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.656552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c207$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.531,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over21c204.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under79c201.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1916556.4%93 W · 72 L-17.5wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.